Start Baker Mayfield. Mayfield is projected for 13.8 PPR points vs 13.1 for Joe Milton, and faces the 8th-softest defense against QBs this week.
Updated Nov 7, 4:39 PM ET
| Baker Mayfield QB · TB | Joe Milton QB · PHI | |
|---|---|---|
| Projection (Week 9, avg of sources) | 13.8 | 13.1 |
| Floor (lowest source) | 10.7 | 10.1 |
| Ceiling (highest source) | 16.1 | 15.0 |
| StatChasers projection | 15.2 (QB22) | 13.9 (QB27) |
| Opponent | vs CHI | vs NYG |
| Opponent vs. position | 8th-softest (19.7 pts/g allowed) | 7th-softest (20.4 pts/g allowed) |
| Recent usage | — | — |
| Position | QB | QB |
| Our call | SIT · Bench | SIT · Bench |
Settle every start/sit call with projections, matchup, recent usage and floor-versus-ceiling for your exact scoring settings.
Start Baker Mayfield. Mayfield projects for 13.8 PPR points vs CHI, against 13.1 for Joe Milton vs NYG: a 0.7-point edge.
The projection is the average of every source that carries each player this week, and a player listed Out or Doubtful is never the start.
Baker Mayfield is projected to score more: 13.8 PPR points to 13.1 for Joe Milton.
The sources range from 10.7 to 16.1 for Mayfield and from 10.1 to 15.0 for Milton. The ranges overlap, so Milton outscoring Mayfield is a realistic result.
Baker Mayfield is the safer start: even the most cautious projection source has Mayfield at 10.7 PPR points, against 10.1 for Joe Milton.
Start the higher floor when you are favored and only need to avoid a dud.
Baker Mayfield has the higher ceiling: the most optimistic projection source has Mayfield at 16.1 PPR points, against 15.0 for Joe Milton.
Start the higher ceiling when you are the underdog and need points more than safety.
Baker Mayfield plays CHI and Joe Milton plays NYG in Week 9.
By fantasy points allowed to each position, Mayfield faces the 8th-softest defense against QBs and Milton faces the 7th-softest defense against QBs, so Joe Milton has the softer matchup.
Each projection already accounts for the opponent, so a soft matchup is a tiebreaker, not a reason to bench the higher projection.
These numbers are in PPR. Full PPR adds a point per catch, so it helps whichever player sees more targets.
Switch between PPR, Half PPR and Standard on the board above to rescore both players from the same sources.
Neither Baker Mayfield nor Joe Milton has an injury designation for Week 9.
Designations change through the week, so check again before kickoff; this page updates with each refresh.
Each figure is the average of the projection sources that carry the player this week: StatChasers, Sleeper, ESPN, numberFire, FFToday and the betting markets (sportsbook player props). Baker Mayfield is projected by 6 of them and Joe Milton by 5.
A source with no number for a player is left out of the average rather than counted as a zero.