Start Jonah Coleman. Coleman is projected for 9.3 PPR points vs 9.0 for Rico Dowdle, and faces the 9th-toughest defense against RBs this week.
Updated Oct 30, 7:29 AM ET
| Jonah Coleman RB · DEN | Rico Dowdle RB · PIT | |
|---|---|---|
| Projection (Week 8, avg of sources) | 9.3 | 9.0 |
| Floor (lowest source) | 7.6 | 8.5 |
| Ceiling (highest source) | 11.7 | 9.5 |
| StatChasers projection | 9.1 (RB29) | 8.8 (RB30) |
| Opponent | vs KC | vs CLE |
| Opponent vs. position | 9th-toughest (19.5 pts/g allowed) | 8th-toughest (19.4 pts/g allowed) |
| Recent usage | 28% carry share (last 3) | 31% carry share (last 3) |
| Position | RB | RB |
| Our call | FLEX · Flex | FLEX · Flex |
Settle every start/sit call with projections, matchup, recent usage and floor-versus-ceiling for your exact scoring settings.
Start Jonah Coleman. Coleman projects for 9.3 PPR points vs KC, against 9.0 for Rico Dowdle vs CLE: a 0.3-point edge.
The projection is the average of every source that carries each player this week, and a player listed Out or Doubtful is never the start.
Jonah Coleman is projected to score more: 9.3 PPR points to 9.0 for Rico Dowdle.
The sources range from 7.6 to 11.7 for Coleman and from 8.5 to 9.5 for Dowdle. The ranges overlap, so Dowdle outscoring Coleman is a realistic result.
Rico Dowdle is the safer start: even the most cautious projection source has Dowdle at 8.5 PPR points, against 7.6 for Jonah Coleman.
Start the higher floor when you are favored and only need to avoid a dud.
Jonah Coleman has the higher ceiling: the most optimistic projection source has Coleman at 11.7 PPR points, against 9.5 for Rico Dowdle.
Start the higher ceiling when you are the underdog and need points more than safety.
Jonah Coleman plays KC and Rico Dowdle plays CLE in Week 8.
By fantasy points allowed to each position, Coleman faces the 9th-toughest defense against RBs and Dowdle faces the 8th-toughest defense against RBs, so Jonah Coleman has the softer matchup.
Each projection already accounts for the opponent, so a soft matchup is a tiebreaker, not a reason to bench the higher projection.
Over his recent games Jonah Coleman has drawn 28% of his team's carries, and Rico Dowdle 31% of his team's carries.
Rico Dowdle has the bigger role, and volume is the steadiest thing a projection rests on.
These numbers are in PPR. Full PPR adds a point per catch, so it helps whichever player sees more targets.
Switch between PPR, Half PPR and Standard on the board above to rescore both players from the same sources.
Neither Jonah Coleman nor Rico Dowdle has an injury designation for Week 8.
Designations change through the week, so check again before kickoff; this page updates with each refresh.
Each figure is the average of the projection sources that carry the player this week: StatChasers, Sleeper, ESPN, numberFire, FFToday and the betting markets (sportsbook player props). Jonah Coleman is projected by 6 of them and Rico Dowdle by 6.
A source with no number for a player is left out of the average rather than counted as a zero.