Start Josh Downs. Downs is projected for 9.3 PPR points vs 8.7 for Xavier Worthy, and faces the 4th-softest defense against WRs this week.
Updated Oct 30, 7:29 AM ET
| Josh Downs WR · IND | Xavier Worthy WR · KC | |
|---|---|---|
| Projection (Week 8, avg of sources) | 9.3 | 8.7 |
| Floor (lowest source) | 8.4 | 8.2 |
| Ceiling (highest source) | 10.1 | 9.1 |
| StatChasers projection | 9.3 (WR42) | 8.3 (WR48) |
| Opponent | vs JAX | vs DEN |
| Opponent vs. position | 4th-softest (38.0 pts/g allowed) | 7th-toughest (27.8 pts/g allowed) |
| Recent usage | 18% target share (last 3) | 23% target share (last 3) |
| Position | WR | WR |
| Our call | FLEX · Flex | SIT · Bench |
Settle every start/sit call with projections, matchup, recent usage and floor-versus-ceiling for your exact scoring settings.
Start Josh Downs. Downs projects for 9.3 PPR points vs JAX, against 8.7 for Xavier Worthy vs DEN: a 0.6-point edge.
The projection is the average of every source that carries each player this week, and a player listed Out or Doubtful is never the start.
Josh Downs is projected to score more: 9.3 PPR points to 8.7 for Xavier Worthy.
The sources range from 8.4 to 10.1 for Downs and from 8.2 to 9.1 for Worthy. The ranges overlap, so Worthy outscoring Downs is a realistic result.
Josh Downs is the safer start: even the most cautious projection source has Downs at 8.4 PPR points, against 8.2 for Xavier Worthy.
Start the higher floor when you are favored and only need to avoid a dud.
Josh Downs has the higher ceiling: the most optimistic projection source has Downs at 10.1 PPR points, against 9.1 for Xavier Worthy.
Start the higher ceiling when you are the underdog and need points more than safety.
Josh Downs plays JAX and Xavier Worthy plays DEN in Week 8.
By fantasy points allowed to each position, Downs faces the 4th-softest defense against WRs and Worthy faces the 7th-toughest defense against WRs, so Josh Downs has the softer matchup.
Each projection already accounts for the opponent, so a soft matchup is a tiebreaker, not a reason to bench the higher projection.
Over his recent games Josh Downs has drawn 18% of his team's targets, and Xavier Worthy 23% of his team's targets.
Xavier Worthy has the bigger role, and volume is the steadiest thing a projection rests on.
These numbers are in PPR. Full PPR adds a point per catch, so it helps whichever player sees more targets, which here is Xavier Worthy.
Switch between PPR, Half PPR and Standard on the board above to rescore both players from the same sources.
Neither Josh Downs nor Xavier Worthy has an injury designation for Week 8.
Designations change through the week, so check again before kickoff; this page updates with each refresh.
Each figure is the average of the projection sources that carry the player this week: StatChasers, Sleeper, ESPN, numberFire, FFToday and the betting markets (sportsbook player props). Josh Downs is projected by 5 of them and Xavier Worthy by 5.
A source with no number for a player is left out of the average rather than counted as a zero.