Start Justice Hill. Hill is projected for 5.5 PPR points vs 5.2 for MarShawn Lloyd, and faces the 3rd-softest defense against RBs this week.
Updated Oct 30, 7:29 AM ET
| Justice Hill RB · BAL | MarShawn Lloyd RB · GB | |
|---|---|---|
| Projection (Week 8, avg of sources) | 5.5 | 5.2 |
| Floor (lowest source) | 3.2 | 3.6 |
| Ceiling (highest source) | 6.6 | 6.7 |
| StatChasers projection | 5.8 (RB41) | 4.3 (RB49) |
| Opponent | vs BUF | vs CAR |
| Opponent vs. position | 3rd-softest (27.3 pts/g allowed) | 2nd-softest (28.7 pts/g allowed) |
| Recent usage | 8% carry share (last 3) | 34% carry share (last 3) |
| Position | RB | RB |
| Our call | SIT · Bench | SIT · Bench |
Settle every start/sit call with projections, matchup, recent usage and floor-versus-ceiling for your exact scoring settings.
Start Justice Hill. Hill projects for 5.5 PPR points vs BUF, against 5.2 for MarShawn Lloyd vs CAR: a 0.3-point edge.
The projection is the average of every source that carries each player this week, and a player listed Out or Doubtful is never the start.
Justice Hill is projected to score more: 5.5 PPR points to 5.2 for MarShawn Lloyd.
The sources range from 3.2 to 6.6 for Hill and from 3.6 to 6.7 for Lloyd. The ranges overlap, so Lloyd outscoring Hill is a realistic result.
MarShawn Lloyd is the safer start: even the most cautious projection source has Lloyd at 3.6 PPR points, against 3.2 for Justice Hill.
Start the higher floor when you are favored and only need to avoid a dud.
MarShawn Lloyd has the higher ceiling: the most optimistic projection source has Lloyd at 6.7 PPR points, against 6.6 for Justice Hill.
Start the higher ceiling when you are the underdog and need points more than safety.
Justice Hill plays BUF and MarShawn Lloyd plays CAR in Week 8.
By fantasy points allowed to each position, Hill faces the 3rd-softest defense against RBs and Lloyd faces the 2nd-softest defense against RBs, so MarShawn Lloyd has the softer matchup.
Each projection already accounts for the opponent, so a soft matchup is a tiebreaker, not a reason to bench the higher projection.
Over his recent games Justice Hill has drawn 8% of his team's carries, and MarShawn Lloyd 34% of his team's carries.
MarShawn Lloyd has the bigger role, and volume is the steadiest thing a projection rests on.
These numbers are in PPR. Full PPR adds a point per catch, so it helps whichever player sees more targets.
Switch between PPR, Half PPR and Standard on the board above to rescore both players from the same sources.
Neither Justice Hill nor MarShawn Lloyd has an injury designation for Week 8.
Designations change through the week, so check again before kickoff; this page updates with each refresh.
Each figure is the average of the projection sources that carry the player this week: StatChasers, Sleeper, ESPN, numberFire, FFToday and the betting markets (sportsbook player props). Justice Hill is projected by 6 of them and MarShawn Lloyd by 6.
A source with no number for a player is left out of the average rather than counted as a zero.