Too close to call: Justice Hill (5.5) and Ty Johnson (5.5) project within 0.0 PPR points of each other in Week 8, and Justice Hill faces the 3rd-softest defense against RBs.
Updated Oct 30, 7:29 AM ET
| Justice Hill RB · BAL | Ty Johnson RB · BUF | |
|---|---|---|
| Projection (Week 8, avg of sources) | 5.5 | 5.5 |
| Floor (lowest source) | 3.2 | 4.1 |
| Ceiling (highest source) | 6.6 | 6.1 |
| StatChasers projection | 5.8 (RB41) | 5.6 (RB43) |
| Opponent | vs BUF | vs BAL |
| Opponent vs. position | 3rd-softest (27.3 pts/g allowed) | 5th-toughest (18.5 pts/g allowed) |
| Recent usage | 8% carry share (last 3) | 2% carry share (last 3) |
| Position | RB | RB |
| Our call | SIT · Bench | SIT · Bench |
Settle every start/sit call with projections, matchup, recent usage and floor-versus-ceiling for your exact scoring settings.
It is a coin flip. Justice Hill projects for 5.5 PPR points and Ty Johnson for 5.5, within 0.0 of each other.
Break the tie with the floor if you are favored this week, and with the ceiling if you need a big game to win.
They are projected almost level: 5.5 PPR points for Justice Hill and 5.5 for Ty Johnson.
The sources range from 3.2 to 6.6 for Hill and from 4.1 to 6.1 for Johnson. Either result is well inside both ranges.
Ty Johnson is the safer start: even the most cautious projection source has Johnson at 4.1 PPR points, against 3.2 for Justice Hill.
Start the higher floor when you are favored and only need to avoid a dud.
Justice Hill has the higher ceiling: the most optimistic projection source has Hill at 6.6 PPR points, against 6.1 for Ty Johnson.
Start the higher ceiling when you are the underdog and need points more than safety.
Justice Hill plays BUF and Ty Johnson plays BAL in Week 8.
By fantasy points allowed to each position, Hill faces the 3rd-softest defense against RBs and Johnson faces the 5th-toughest defense against RBs, so Justice Hill has the softer matchup.
Each projection already accounts for the opponent, so a soft matchup is a tiebreaker, not a reason to bench the higher projection.
Over his recent games Justice Hill has drawn 8% of his team's carries, and Ty Johnson 2% of his team's carries.
Justice Hill has the bigger role, and volume is the steadiest thing a projection rests on.
These numbers are in PPR. Full PPR adds a point per catch, so it helps whichever player sees more targets.
Switch between PPR, Half PPR and Standard on the board above to rescore both players from the same sources.
Neither Justice Hill nor Ty Johnson has an injury designation for Week 8.
Designations change through the week, so check again before kickoff; this page updates with each refresh.
Each figure is the average of the projection sources that carry the player this week: StatChasers, Sleeper, ESPN, numberFire, FFToday and the betting markets (sportsbook player props). Justice Hill is projected by 6 of them and Ty Johnson by 6.
A source with no number for a player is left out of the average rather than counted as a zero.