Start Juwan Johnson. Johnson is projected for 9.4 PPR points vs 8.6 for Kyle Pitts Sr., and faces the 14th-toughest defense against TEs this week.
Updated Oct 24, 4:47 PM ET
| Juwan Johnson TE · NO | Kyle Pitts Sr. TE · ATL | |
|---|---|---|
| Projection (Week 7, avg of sources) | 9.4 | 8.6 |
| Floor (lowest source) | 8.7 | 6.9 |
| Ceiling (highest source) | 10.4 | 9.8 |
| StatChasers projection | — | — |
| Opponent | vs PIT | vs SF |
| Opponent vs. position | 14th-toughest (11.7 pts/g allowed) | 4th-toughest (9.4 pts/g allowed) |
| Recent usage | 15% target share (last 3) | 19% target share (last 3) |
| Position | TE | TE |
| Our call | FLEX · Streamer | SIT · Bench |
Settle every start/sit call with projections, matchup, recent usage and floor-versus-ceiling for your exact scoring settings.
Start Juwan Johnson. Johnson projects for 9.4 PPR points vs PIT, against 8.6 for Kyle Pitts Sr. vs SF: a 0.8-point edge.
The projection is the average of every source that carries each player this week, and a player listed Out or Doubtful is never the start.
Juwan Johnson is projected to score more: 9.4 PPR points to 8.6 for Kyle Pitts Sr..
The sources range from 8.7 to 10.4 for Johnson and from 6.9 to 9.8 for Pitts Sr.. The ranges overlap, so Pitts Sr. outscoring Johnson is a realistic result.
Juwan Johnson is the safer start: even the most cautious projection source has Johnson at 8.7 PPR points, against 6.9 for Kyle Pitts Sr..
Start the higher floor when you are favored and only need to avoid a dud.
Juwan Johnson has the higher ceiling: the most optimistic projection source has Johnson at 10.4 PPR points, against 9.8 for Kyle Pitts Sr..
Start the higher ceiling when you are the underdog and need points more than safety.
Juwan Johnson plays PIT and Kyle Pitts Sr. plays SF in Week 7.
By fantasy points allowed to each position, Johnson faces the 14th-toughest defense against TEs and Pitts Sr. faces the 4th-toughest defense against TEs, so Juwan Johnson has the softer matchup.
Each projection already accounts for the opponent, so a soft matchup is a tiebreaker, not a reason to bench the higher projection.
Over his recent games Juwan Johnson has drawn 15% of his team's targets, and Kyle Pitts Sr. 19% of his team's targets.
Kyle Pitts Sr. has the bigger role, and volume is the steadiest thing a projection rests on.
These numbers are in PPR. Full PPR adds a point per catch, so it helps whichever player sees more targets, which here is Kyle Pitts Sr..
Switch between PPR, Half PPR and Standard on the board above to rescore both players from the same sources.
Neither Juwan Johnson nor Kyle Pitts Sr. has an injury designation for Week 7.
Designations change through the week, so check again before kickoff; this page updates with each refresh.
Each figure is the average of the projection sources that carry the player this week: StatChasers, Sleeper, ESPN, numberFire, FFToday and the betting markets (sportsbook player props). Juwan Johnson is projected by 4 of them and Kyle Pitts Sr. by 4.
A source with no number for a player is left out of the average rather than counted as a zero.