Too close to call: Tyler Higbee (8.7) and Kyle Pitts Sr. (8.6) project within 0.1 PPR points of each other in Week 7, and Tyler Higbee faces the 7th-softest defense against TEs.
Updated Oct 24, 4:47 PM ET
| Tyler Higbee TE · LAR | Kyle Pitts Sr. TE · ATL | |
|---|---|---|
| Projection (Week 7, avg of sources) | 8.7 | 8.6 |
| Floor (lowest source) | 7.9 | 6.9 |
| Ceiling (highest source) | 9.7 | 9.8 |
| StatChasers projection | — | — |
| Opponent | vs LV | vs SF |
| Opponent vs. position | 7th-softest (17.7 pts/g allowed) | 4th-toughest (9.4 pts/g allowed) |
| Recent usage | 12% target share (last 3) | 19% target share (last 3) |
| Position | TE | TE |
| Our call | SIT · Bench | SIT · Bench |
Settle every start/sit call with projections, matchup, recent usage and floor-versus-ceiling for your exact scoring settings.
It is a coin flip. Tyler Higbee projects for 8.7 PPR points and Kyle Pitts Sr. for 8.6, within 0.1 of each other.
Break the tie with the floor if you are favored this week, and with the ceiling if you need a big game to win.
They are projected almost level: 8.7 PPR points for Tyler Higbee and 8.6 for Kyle Pitts Sr..
The sources range from 7.9 to 9.7 for Higbee and from 6.9 to 9.8 for Pitts Sr.. Either result is well inside both ranges.
Tyler Higbee is the safer start: even the most cautious projection source has Higbee at 7.9 PPR points, against 6.9 for Kyle Pitts Sr..
Start the higher floor when you are favored and only need to avoid a dud.
Kyle Pitts Sr. has the higher ceiling: the most optimistic projection source has Pitts Sr. at 9.8 PPR points, against 9.7 for Tyler Higbee.
Start the higher ceiling when you are the underdog and need points more than safety.
Tyler Higbee plays LV and Kyle Pitts Sr. plays SF in Week 7.
By fantasy points allowed to each position, Higbee faces the 7th-softest defense against TEs and Pitts Sr. faces the 4th-toughest defense against TEs, so Tyler Higbee has the softer matchup.
Each projection already accounts for the opponent, so a soft matchup is a tiebreaker, not a reason to bench the higher projection.
Over his recent games Tyler Higbee has drawn 12% of his team's targets, and Kyle Pitts Sr. 19% of his team's targets.
Kyle Pitts Sr. has the bigger role, and volume is the steadiest thing a projection rests on.
These numbers are in PPR. Full PPR adds a point per catch, so it helps whichever player sees more targets, which here is Kyle Pitts Sr..
Switch between PPR, Half PPR and Standard on the board above to rescore both players from the same sources.
Neither Tyler Higbee nor Kyle Pitts Sr. has an injury designation for Week 7.
Designations change through the week, so check again before kickoff; this page updates with each refresh.
Each figure is the average of the projection sources that carry the player this week: StatChasers, Sleeper, ESPN, numberFire, FFToday and the betting markets (sportsbook player props). Tyler Higbee is projected by 4 of them and Kyle Pitts Sr. by 4.
A source with no number for a player is left out of the average rather than counted as a zero.