Start KC Concepcion Jr.. Concepcion Jr. is projected for 10.7 PPR points vs 10.3 for Makai Lemon, and faces the 14th-toughest defense against WRs this week.
Updated Nov 7, 4:39 PM ET
| KC Concepcion Jr. WR · CLE | Makai Lemon WR · PHI | |
|---|---|---|
| Projection (Week 9, avg of sources) | 10.7 | 10.3 |
| Floor (lowest source) | 10.2 | 8.0 |
| Ceiling (highest source) | 11.4 | 15.4 |
| StatChasers projection | 11.4 (WR27) | 8.5 (WR49) |
| Opponent | vs NO | vs NYG |
| Opponent vs. position | 14th-toughest (29.8 pts/g allowed) | 15th-softest (31.3 pts/g allowed) |
| Recent usage | 20% target share (last 3) | 21% target share (last 3) |
| Position | WR | WR |
| Our call | START · WR3 | SIT · Bench |
Settle every start/sit call with projections, matchup, recent usage and floor-versus-ceiling for your exact scoring settings.
Start KC Concepcion Jr.. Concepcion Jr. projects for 10.7 PPR points vs NO, against 10.3 for Makai Lemon vs NYG: a 0.4-point edge.
The projection is the average of every source that carries each player this week, and a player listed Out or Doubtful is never the start.
KC Concepcion Jr. is projected to score more: 10.7 PPR points to 10.3 for Makai Lemon.
The sources range from 10.2 to 11.4 for Concepcion Jr. and from 8.0 to 15.4 for Lemon. The ranges overlap, so Lemon outscoring Concepcion Jr. is a realistic result.
KC Concepcion Jr. is the safer start: even the most cautious projection source has Concepcion Jr. at 10.2 PPR points, against 8.0 for Makai Lemon.
Start the higher floor when you are favored and only need to avoid a dud.
Makai Lemon has the higher ceiling: the most optimistic projection source has Lemon at 15.4 PPR points, against 11.4 for KC Concepcion Jr..
Start the higher ceiling when you are the underdog and need points more than safety.
KC Concepcion Jr. plays NO and Makai Lemon plays NYG in Week 9.
By fantasy points allowed to each position, Concepcion Jr. faces the 14th-toughest defense against WRs and Lemon faces the 15th-softest defense against WRs, so Makai Lemon has the softer matchup.
Each projection already accounts for the opponent, so a soft matchup is a tiebreaker, not a reason to bench the higher projection.
Over his recent games KC Concepcion Jr. has drawn 20% of his team's targets, and Makai Lemon 21% of his team's targets.
Makai Lemon has the bigger role, and volume is the steadiest thing a projection rests on.
These numbers are in PPR. Full PPR adds a point per catch, so it helps whichever player sees more targets, which here is Makai Lemon.
Switch between PPR, Half PPR and Standard on the board above to rescore both players from the same sources.
Neither KC Concepcion Jr. nor Makai Lemon has an injury designation for Week 9.
Designations change through the week, so check again before kickoff; this page updates with each refresh.
Each figure is the average of the projection sources that carry the player this week: StatChasers, Sleeper, ESPN, numberFire, FFToday and the betting markets (sportsbook player props). KC Concepcion Jr. is projected by 6 of them and Makai Lemon by 5.
A source with no number for a player is left out of the average rather than counted as a zero.