Start Michael Wilson. Wilson is projected for 13.4 PPR points vs 10.7 for KC Concepcion Jr., and faces the 1st-toughest defense against WRs this week.
Updated Nov 7, 4:39 PM ET
| Michael Wilson WR · ARI | KC Concepcion Jr. WR · CLE | |
|---|---|---|
| Projection (Week 9, avg of sources) | 13.4 | 10.7 |
| Floor (lowest source) | 12.6 | 10.2 |
| Ceiling (highest source) | 14.8 | 11.4 |
| StatChasers projection | 12.6 (WR20) | 11.4 (WR27) |
| Opponent | vs SEA | vs NO |
| Opponent vs. position | 1st-toughest (23.3 pts/g allowed) | 14th-toughest (29.8 pts/g allowed) |
| Recent usage | 25% target share (last 3) | 20% target share (last 3) |
| Position | WR | WR |
| Our call | START · WR2 | START · WR3 |
Settle every start/sit call with projections, matchup, recent usage and floor-versus-ceiling for your exact scoring settings.
Start Michael Wilson. Wilson projects for 13.4 PPR points vs SEA, against 10.7 for KC Concepcion Jr. vs NO: a 2.7-point edge.
The projection is the average of every source that carries each player this week, and a player listed Out or Doubtful is never the start.
Michael Wilson is projected to score more: 13.4 PPR points to 10.7 for KC Concepcion Jr..
The sources range from 12.6 to 14.8 for Wilson and from 10.2 to 11.4 for Concepcion Jr.. Even Concepcion Jr.'s highest projection is below Wilson's lowest.
Michael Wilson is the safer start: even the most cautious projection source has Wilson at 12.6 PPR points, against 10.2 for KC Concepcion Jr..
Start the higher floor when you are favored and only need to avoid a dud.
Michael Wilson has the higher ceiling: the most optimistic projection source has Wilson at 14.8 PPR points, against 11.4 for KC Concepcion Jr..
Start the higher ceiling when you are the underdog and need points more than safety.
Michael Wilson plays SEA and KC Concepcion Jr. plays NO in Week 9.
By fantasy points allowed to each position, Wilson faces the 1st-toughest defense against WRs and Concepcion Jr. faces the 14th-toughest defense against WRs, so KC Concepcion Jr. has the softer matchup.
Each projection already accounts for the opponent, so a soft matchup is a tiebreaker, not a reason to bench the higher projection.
Over his recent games Michael Wilson has drawn 25% of his team's targets, and KC Concepcion Jr. 20% of his team's targets.
Michael Wilson has the bigger role, and volume is the steadiest thing a projection rests on.
These numbers are in PPR. Full PPR adds a point per catch, so it helps whichever player sees more targets, which here is Michael Wilson.
Switch between PPR, Half PPR and Standard on the board above to rescore both players from the same sources.
Neither Michael Wilson nor KC Concepcion Jr. has an injury designation for Week 9.
Designations change through the week, so check again before kickoff; this page updates with each refresh.
Each figure is the average of the projection sources that carry the player this week: StatChasers, Sleeper, ESPN, numberFire, FFToday and the betting markets (sportsbook player props). Michael Wilson is projected by 6 of them and KC Concepcion Jr. by 6.
A source with no number for a player is left out of the average rather than counted as a zero.