Start Tyler Warren. Warren is projected for 11.3 PPR points vs 9.2 for Kyle Pitts Sr., and faces the 11th-toughest defense against TEs this week.
Updated Oct 30, 7:29 AM ET
| Tyler Warren TE · IND | Kyle Pitts Sr. TE · ATL | |
|---|---|---|
| Projection (Week 8, avg of sources) | 11.3 | 9.2 |
| Floor (lowest source) | 10.8 | 8.1 |
| Ceiling (highest source) | 11.9 | 10.3 |
| StatChasers projection | 10.8 (TE10) | 9.9 (TE13) |
| Opponent | vs JAX | vs TB |
| Opponent vs. position | 11th-toughest (11.8 pts/g allowed) | 8th-softest (16.2 pts/g allowed) |
| Recent usage | 22% target share (last 3) | 18% target share (last 3) |
| Position | TE | TE |
| Our call | START · TE1 | FLEX · Streamer |
Settle every start/sit call with projections, matchup, recent usage and floor-versus-ceiling for your exact scoring settings.
Start Tyler Warren. Warren projects for 11.3 PPR points vs JAX, against 9.2 for Kyle Pitts Sr. vs TB: a 2.1-point edge.
The projection is the average of every source that carries each player this week, and a player listed Out or Doubtful is never the start.
Tyler Warren is projected to score more: 11.3 PPR points to 9.2 for Kyle Pitts Sr..
The sources range from 10.8 to 11.9 for Warren and from 8.1 to 10.3 for Pitts Sr.. Even Pitts Sr.'s highest projection is below Warren's lowest.
Tyler Warren is the safer start: even the most cautious projection source has Warren at 10.8 PPR points, against 8.1 for Kyle Pitts Sr..
Start the higher floor when you are favored and only need to avoid a dud.
Tyler Warren has the higher ceiling: the most optimistic projection source has Warren at 11.9 PPR points, against 10.3 for Kyle Pitts Sr..
Start the higher ceiling when you are the underdog and need points more than safety.
Tyler Warren plays JAX and Kyle Pitts Sr. plays TB in Week 8.
By fantasy points allowed to each position, Warren faces the 11th-toughest defense against TEs and Pitts Sr. faces the 8th-softest defense against TEs, so Kyle Pitts Sr. has the softer matchup.
Each projection already accounts for the opponent, so a soft matchup is a tiebreaker, not a reason to bench the higher projection.
Over his recent games Tyler Warren has drawn 22% of his team's targets, and Kyle Pitts Sr. 18% of his team's targets.
Tyler Warren has the bigger role, and volume is the steadiest thing a projection rests on.
These numbers are in PPR. Full PPR adds a point per catch, so it helps whichever player sees more targets, which here is Tyler Warren.
Switch between PPR, Half PPR and Standard on the board above to rescore both players from the same sources.
Neither Tyler Warren nor Kyle Pitts Sr. has an injury designation for Week 8.
Designations change through the week, so check again before kickoff; this page updates with each refresh.
Each figure is the average of the projection sources that carry the player this week: StatChasers, Sleeper, ESPN, numberFire, FFToday and the betting markets (sportsbook player props). Tyler Warren is projected by 5 of them and Kyle Pitts Sr. by 5.
A source with no number for a player is left out of the average rather than counted as a zero.