Start Tetairoa McMillan. McMillan is projected for 14.3 PPR points vs 11.5 for Ladd McConkey, and faces the 7th-toughest defense against WRs this week.
Updated Nov 7, 4:39 PM ET
| Tetairoa McMillan WR · CAR | Ladd McConkey WR · LAC | |
|---|---|---|
| Projection (Week 9, avg of sources) | 14.3 | 11.5 |
| Floor (lowest source) | 13.5 | 10.5 |
| Ceiling (highest source) | 16.0 | 13.0 |
| StatChasers projection | 14.4 (WR17) | 11.0 (WR31) |
| Opponent | vs DEN | vs HOU |
| Opponent vs. position | 7th-toughest (27.9 pts/g allowed) | 4th-softest (37.3 pts/g allowed) |
| Recent usage | 26% target share (last 3) | 9% target share (last 3) |
| Position | WR | WR |
| Our call | START · WR2 | FLEX · Flex |
Settle every start/sit call with projections, matchup, recent usage and floor-versus-ceiling for your exact scoring settings.
Start Tetairoa McMillan. McMillan projects for 14.3 PPR points vs DEN, against 11.5 for Ladd McConkey vs HOU: a 2.8-point edge.
The projection is the average of every source that carries each player this week, and a player listed Out or Doubtful is never the start.
Tetairoa McMillan is projected to score more: 14.3 PPR points to 11.5 for Ladd McConkey.
The sources range from 13.5 to 16.0 for McMillan and from 10.5 to 13.0 for McConkey. Even McConkey's highest projection is below McMillan's lowest.
Tetairoa McMillan is the safer start: even the most cautious projection source has McMillan at 13.5 PPR points, against 10.5 for Ladd McConkey.
Start the higher floor when you are favored and only need to avoid a dud.
Tetairoa McMillan has the higher ceiling: the most optimistic projection source has McMillan at 16.0 PPR points, against 13.0 for Ladd McConkey.
Start the higher ceiling when you are the underdog and need points more than safety.
Tetairoa McMillan plays DEN and Ladd McConkey plays HOU in Week 9.
By fantasy points allowed to each position, McMillan faces the 7th-toughest defense against WRs and McConkey faces the 4th-softest defense against WRs, so Ladd McConkey has the softer matchup.
Each projection already accounts for the opponent, so a soft matchup is a tiebreaker, not a reason to bench the higher projection.
Over his recent games Tetairoa McMillan has drawn 26% of his team's targets, and Ladd McConkey 9% of his team's targets.
Tetairoa McMillan has the bigger role, and volume is the steadiest thing a projection rests on.
These numbers are in PPR. Full PPR adds a point per catch, so it helps whichever player sees more targets, which here is Tetairoa McMillan.
Switch between PPR, Half PPR and Standard on the board above to rescore both players from the same sources.
Neither Tetairoa McMillan nor Ladd McConkey has an injury designation for Week 9.
Designations change through the week, so check again before kickoff; this page updates with each refresh.
Each figure is the average of the projection sources that carry the player this week: StatChasers, Sleeper, ESPN, numberFire, FFToday and the betting markets (sportsbook player props). Tetairoa McMillan is projected by 6 of them and Ladd McConkey by 6.
A source with no number for a player is left out of the average rather than counted as a zero.