Too close to call: Michael Penix Jr. (14.4) and Malik Willis (14.2) project within 0.2 PPR points of each other in Week 7, and Michael Penix Jr. faces the 7th-toughest defense against QBs.
Updated Oct 24, 4:47 PM ET
| Michael Penix Jr. QB · ATL | Malik Willis QB · MIA | |
|---|---|---|
| Projection (Week 7, avg of sources) | 14.4 | 14.2 |
| Floor (lowest source) | 12.1 | 12.8 |
| Ceiling (highest source) | 15.9 | 16.1 |
| StatChasers projection | — | — |
| Opponent | vs SF | vs NYJ |
| Opponent vs. position | 7th-toughest (14.9 pts/g allowed) | 8th-toughest (15.1 pts/g allowed) |
| Recent usage | — | — |
| Position | QB | QB |
| Our call | SIT · Bench | SIT · Bench |
Settle every start/sit call with projections, matchup, recent usage and floor-versus-ceiling for your exact scoring settings.
It is a coin flip. Michael Penix Jr. projects for 14.4 PPR points and Malik Willis for 14.2, within 0.2 of each other.
Break the tie with the floor if you are favored this week, and with the ceiling if you need a big game to win.
They are projected almost level: 14.4 PPR points for Michael Penix Jr. and 14.2 for Malik Willis.
The sources range from 12.1 to 15.9 for Penix Jr. and from 12.8 to 16.1 for Willis. Either result is well inside both ranges.
Malik Willis is the safer start: even the most cautious projection source has Willis at 12.8 PPR points, against 12.1 for Michael Penix Jr..
Start the higher floor when you are favored and only need to avoid a dud.
Malik Willis has the higher ceiling: the most optimistic projection source has Willis at 16.1 PPR points, against 15.9 for Michael Penix Jr..
Start the higher ceiling when you are the underdog and need points more than safety.
Michael Penix Jr. plays SF and Malik Willis plays NYJ in Week 7.
By fantasy points allowed to each position, Penix Jr. faces the 7th-toughest defense against QBs and Willis faces the 8th-toughest defense against QBs, so Malik Willis has the softer matchup.
Each projection already accounts for the opponent, so a soft matchup is a tiebreaker, not a reason to bench the higher projection.
These numbers are in PPR. Full PPR adds a point per catch, so it helps whichever player sees more targets.
Switch between PPR, Half PPR and Standard on the board above to rescore both players from the same sources.
Neither Michael Penix Jr. nor Malik Willis has an injury designation for Week 7.
Designations change through the week, so check again before kickoff; this page updates with each refresh.
Each figure is the average of the projection sources that carry the player this week: StatChasers, Sleeper, ESPN, numberFire, FFToday and the betting markets (sportsbook player props). Michael Penix Jr. is projected by 5 of them and Malik Willis by 5.
A source with no number for a player is left out of the average rather than counted as a zero.