Start Geno Smith. Smith is projected for 15.3 PPR points vs 14.4 for Michael Penix Jr., and faces the 8th-softest defense against QBs this week.
Updated Oct 24, 4:47 PM ET
| Geno Smith QB · NYJ | Michael Penix Jr. QB · ATL | |
|---|---|---|
| Projection (Week 7, avg of sources) | 15.3 | 14.4 |
| Floor (lowest source) | 13.6 | 12.1 |
| Ceiling (highest source) | 16.4 | 15.9 |
| StatChasers projection | — | — |
| Opponent | vs MIA | vs SF |
| Opponent vs. position | 8th-softest (19.4 pts/g allowed) | 7th-toughest (14.9 pts/g allowed) |
| Recent usage | — | — |
| Position | QB | QB |
| Our call | SIT · Bench | SIT · Bench |
Settle every start/sit call with projections, matchup, recent usage and floor-versus-ceiling for your exact scoring settings.
Start Geno Smith. Smith projects for 15.3 PPR points vs MIA, against 14.4 for Michael Penix Jr. vs SF: a 0.9-point edge.
The projection is the average of every source that carries each player this week, and a player listed Out or Doubtful is never the start.
Geno Smith is projected to score more: 15.3 PPR points to 14.4 for Michael Penix Jr..
The sources range from 13.6 to 16.4 for Smith and from 12.1 to 15.9 for Penix Jr.. The ranges overlap, so Penix Jr. outscoring Smith is a realistic result.
Geno Smith is the safer start: even the most cautious projection source has Smith at 13.6 PPR points, against 12.1 for Michael Penix Jr..
Start the higher floor when you are favored and only need to avoid a dud.
Geno Smith has the higher ceiling: the most optimistic projection source has Smith at 16.4 PPR points, against 15.9 for Michael Penix Jr..
Start the higher ceiling when you are the underdog and need points more than safety.
Geno Smith plays MIA and Michael Penix Jr. plays SF in Week 7.
By fantasy points allowed to each position, Smith faces the 8th-softest defense against QBs and Penix Jr. faces the 7th-toughest defense against QBs, so Geno Smith has the softer matchup.
Each projection already accounts for the opponent, so a soft matchup is a tiebreaker, not a reason to bench the higher projection.
These numbers are in PPR. Full PPR adds a point per catch, so it helps whichever player sees more targets.
Switch between PPR, Half PPR and Standard on the board above to rescore both players from the same sources.
Neither Geno Smith nor Michael Penix Jr. has an injury designation for Week 7.
Designations change through the week, so check again before kickoff; this page updates with each refresh.
Each figure is the average of the projection sources that carry the player this week: StatChasers, Sleeper, ESPN, numberFire, FFToday and the betting markets (sportsbook player props). Geno Smith is projected by 5 of them and Michael Penix Jr. by 5.
A source with no number for a player is left out of the average rather than counted as a zero.