Start Sam LaPorta. LaPorta is projected for 12.2 PPR points vs 8.9 for Mike Gesicki, and faces the 3rd-softest defense against TEs this week.
Updated Nov 7, 4:39 PM ET
| Sam LaPorta TE · DET | Mike Gesicki TE · CIN | |
|---|---|---|
| Projection (Week 9, avg of sources) | 12.2 | 8.9 |
| Floor (lowest source) | 11.3 | 8.1 |
| Ceiling (highest source) | 13.3 | 10.2 |
| StatChasers projection | 11.3 (TE12) | 8.2 (TE22) |
| Opponent | vs MIA | vs ATL |
| Opponent vs. position | 3rd-softest (19.2 pts/g allowed) | 16th-softest (13.9 pts/g allowed) |
| Recent usage | 14% target share (last 3) | 9% target share (last 3) |
| Position | TE | TE |
| Our call | START · TE1 | SIT · Bench |
Settle every start/sit call with projections, matchup, recent usage and floor-versus-ceiling for your exact scoring settings.
Start Sam LaPorta. LaPorta projects for 12.2 PPR points vs MIA, against 8.9 for Mike Gesicki vs ATL: a 3.3-point edge.
The projection is the average of every source that carries each player this week, and a player listed Out or Doubtful is never the start.
Sam LaPorta is projected to score more: 12.2 PPR points to 8.9 for Mike Gesicki.
The sources range from 11.3 to 13.3 for LaPorta and from 8.1 to 10.2 for Gesicki. Even Gesicki's highest projection is below LaPorta's lowest.
Sam LaPorta is the safer start: even the most cautious projection source has LaPorta at 11.3 PPR points, against 8.1 for Mike Gesicki.
Start the higher floor when you are favored and only need to avoid a dud.
Sam LaPorta has the higher ceiling: the most optimistic projection source has LaPorta at 13.3 PPR points, against 10.2 for Mike Gesicki.
Start the higher ceiling when you are the underdog and need points more than safety.
Sam LaPorta plays MIA and Mike Gesicki plays ATL in Week 9.
By fantasy points allowed to each position, LaPorta faces the 3rd-softest defense against TEs and Gesicki faces the 16th-softest defense against TEs, so Sam LaPorta has the softer matchup.
Each projection already accounts for the opponent, so a soft matchup is a tiebreaker, not a reason to bench the higher projection.
Over his recent games Sam LaPorta has drawn 14% of his team's targets, and Mike Gesicki 9% of his team's targets.
Sam LaPorta has the bigger role, and volume is the steadiest thing a projection rests on.
These numbers are in PPR. Full PPR adds a point per catch, so it helps whichever player sees more targets, which here is Sam LaPorta.
Switch between PPR, Half PPR and Standard on the board above to rescore both players from the same sources.
Neither Sam LaPorta nor Mike Gesicki has an injury designation for Week 9.
Designations change through the week, so check again before kickoff; this page updates with each refresh.
Each figure is the average of the projection sources that carry the player this week: StatChasers, Sleeper, ESPN, numberFire, FFToday and the betting markets (sportsbook player props). Sam LaPorta is projected by 5 of them and Mike Gesicki by 5.
A source with no number for a player is left out of the average rather than counted as a zero.