Start Ted Hurst III. Hurst III is projected for 8.5 PPR points vs 8.0 for Ryan Flournoy, and faces the 8th-toughest defense against WRs this week.
Updated Oct 24, 4:47 PM ET
| Ted Hurst III WR · TB | Ryan Flournoy WR · DAL | |
|---|---|---|
| Projection (Week 7, avg of sources) | 8.5 | 8.0 |
| Floor (lowest source) | 7.1 | 7.0 |
| Ceiling (highest source) | 10.6 | 8.8 |
| StatChasers projection | — | — |
| Opponent | vs CAR | vs PHI |
| Opponent vs. position | 8th-toughest (29.4 pts/g allowed) | 3rd-softest (38.3 pts/g allowed) |
| Recent usage | 10% target share (last 3) | 13% target share (last 3) |
| Position | WR | WR |
| Our call | SIT · Bench | SIT · Bench |
Settle every start/sit call with projections, matchup, recent usage and floor-versus-ceiling for your exact scoring settings.
Start Ted Hurst III. Hurst III projects for 8.5 PPR points vs CAR, against 8.0 for Ryan Flournoy vs PHI: a 0.5-point edge.
The projection is the average of every source that carries each player this week, and a player listed Out or Doubtful is never the start.
Ted Hurst III is projected to score more: 8.5 PPR points to 8.0 for Ryan Flournoy.
The sources range from 7.1 to 10.6 for Hurst III and from 7.0 to 8.8 for Flournoy. The ranges overlap, so Flournoy outscoring Hurst III is a realistic result.
Ted Hurst III is the safer start: even the most cautious projection source has Hurst III at 7.1 PPR points, against 7.0 for Ryan Flournoy.
Start the higher floor when you are favored and only need to avoid a dud.
Ted Hurst III has the higher ceiling: the most optimistic projection source has Hurst III at 10.6 PPR points, against 8.8 for Ryan Flournoy.
Start the higher ceiling when you are the underdog and need points more than safety.
Ted Hurst III plays CAR and Ryan Flournoy plays PHI in Week 7.
By fantasy points allowed to each position, Hurst III faces the 8th-toughest defense against WRs and Flournoy faces the 3rd-softest defense against WRs, so Ryan Flournoy has the softer matchup.
Each projection already accounts for the opponent, so a soft matchup is a tiebreaker, not a reason to bench the higher projection.
Over his recent games Ted Hurst III has drawn 10% of his team's targets, and Ryan Flournoy 13% of his team's targets.
Ryan Flournoy has the bigger role, and volume is the steadiest thing a projection rests on.
These numbers are in PPR. Full PPR adds a point per catch, so it helps whichever player sees more targets, which here is Ryan Flournoy.
Switch between PPR, Half PPR and Standard on the board above to rescore both players from the same sources.
Neither Ted Hurst III nor Ryan Flournoy has an injury designation for Week 7.
Designations change through the week, so check again before kickoff; this page updates with each refresh.
Each figure is the average of the projection sources that carry the player this week: StatChasers, Sleeper, ESPN, numberFire, FFToday and the betting markets (sportsbook player props). Ted Hurst III is projected by 4 of them and Ryan Flournoy by 4.
A source with no number for a player is left out of the average rather than counted as a zero.