Start KC Concepcion Jr.. Concepcion Jr. is projected for 9.4 PPR points vs 8.5 for Ted Hurst III, and faces the 9th-softest defense against WRs this week.
Updated Oct 24, 4:47 PM ET
| KC Concepcion Jr. WR · CLE | Ted Hurst III WR · TB | |
|---|---|---|
| Projection (Week 7, avg of sources) | 9.4 | 8.5 |
| Floor (lowest source) | 8.9 | 7.1 |
| Ceiling (highest source) | 9.9 | 10.6 |
| StatChasers projection | — | — |
| Opponent | vs TEN | vs CAR |
| Opponent vs. position | 9th-softest (35.9 pts/g allowed) | 8th-toughest (29.4 pts/g allowed) |
| Recent usage | 17% target share (last 3) | 10% target share (last 3) |
| Position | WR | WR |
| Our call | FLEX · Flex | SIT · Bench |
Settle every start/sit call with projections, matchup, recent usage and floor-versus-ceiling for your exact scoring settings.
Start KC Concepcion Jr.. Concepcion Jr. projects for 9.4 PPR points vs TEN, against 8.5 for Ted Hurst III vs CAR: a 0.9-point edge.
The projection is the average of every source that carries each player this week, and a player listed Out or Doubtful is never the start.
KC Concepcion Jr. is projected to score more: 9.4 PPR points to 8.5 for Ted Hurst III.
The sources range from 8.9 to 9.9 for Concepcion Jr. and from 7.1 to 10.6 for Hurst III. The ranges overlap, so Hurst III outscoring Concepcion Jr. is a realistic result.
KC Concepcion Jr. is the safer start: even the most cautious projection source has Concepcion Jr. at 8.9 PPR points, against 7.1 for Ted Hurst III.
Start the higher floor when you are favored and only need to avoid a dud.
Ted Hurst III has the higher ceiling: the most optimistic projection source has Hurst III at 10.6 PPR points, against 9.9 for KC Concepcion Jr..
Start the higher ceiling when you are the underdog and need points more than safety.
KC Concepcion Jr. plays TEN and Ted Hurst III plays CAR in Week 7.
By fantasy points allowed to each position, Concepcion Jr. faces the 9th-softest defense against WRs and Hurst III faces the 8th-toughest defense against WRs, so KC Concepcion Jr. has the softer matchup.
Each projection already accounts for the opponent, so a soft matchup is a tiebreaker, not a reason to bench the higher projection.
Over his recent games KC Concepcion Jr. has drawn 17% of his team's targets, and Ted Hurst III 10% of his team's targets.
KC Concepcion Jr. has the bigger role, and volume is the steadiest thing a projection rests on.
These numbers are in PPR. Full PPR adds a point per catch, so it helps whichever player sees more targets, which here is KC Concepcion Jr..
Switch between PPR, Half PPR and Standard on the board above to rescore both players from the same sources.
Neither KC Concepcion Jr. nor Ted Hurst III has an injury designation for Week 7.
Designations change through the week, so check again before kickoff; this page updates with each refresh.
Each figure is the average of the projection sources that carry the player this week: StatChasers, Sleeper, ESPN, numberFire, FFToday and the betting markets (sportsbook player props). KC Concepcion Jr. is projected by 4 of them and Ted Hurst III by 4.
A source with no number for a player is left out of the average rather than counted as a zero.