Start Aaron Jones Sr.. Jones Sr. is projected for 8.5 PPR points vs 6.3 for Audric Estime, and faces the 3rd-softest defense against RBs this week.
Updated Nov 7, 4:39 PM ET
| Aaron Jones Sr. RB · MIN | Audric Estime RB · NO | |
|---|---|---|
| Projection (Week 9, avg of sources) | 8.5 | 6.3 |
| Floor (lowest source) | 6.8 | 0.2 |
| Ceiling (highest source) | 9.8 | 11.4 |
| StatChasers projection | 8.6 (RB33) | — |
| Opponent | vs BUF | vs CLE |
| Opponent vs. position | 3rd-softest (26.5 pts/g allowed) | 15th-toughest (21.1 pts/g allowed) |
| Recent usage | 46% carry share (last 3) | 31% carry share (last 1) |
| Position | RB | RB |
| Our call | FLEX · Flex | SIT · Bench |
Settle every start/sit call with projections, matchup, recent usage and floor-versus-ceiling for your exact scoring settings.
Start Aaron Jones Sr.. Jones Sr. projects for 8.5 PPR points vs BUF, against 6.3 for Audric Estime vs CLE: a 2.2-point edge.
The projection is the average of every source that carries each player this week, and a player listed Out or Doubtful is never the start.
Aaron Jones Sr. is projected to score more: 8.5 PPR points to 6.3 for Audric Estime.
The sources range from 6.8 to 9.8 for Jones Sr. and from 0.2 to 11.4 for Estime. The ranges overlap, so Estime outscoring Jones Sr. is a realistic result.
Aaron Jones Sr. is the safer start: even the most cautious projection source has Jones Sr. at 6.8 PPR points, against 0.2 for Audric Estime.
Start the higher floor when you are favored and only need to avoid a dud.
Audric Estime has the higher ceiling: the most optimistic projection source has Estime at 11.4 PPR points, against 9.8 for Aaron Jones Sr..
Start the higher ceiling when you are the underdog and need points more than safety.
Aaron Jones Sr. plays BUF and Audric Estime plays CLE in Week 9.
By fantasy points allowed to each position, Jones Sr. faces the 3rd-softest defense against RBs and Estime faces the 15th-toughest defense against RBs, so Aaron Jones Sr. has the softer matchup.
Each projection already accounts for the opponent, so a soft matchup is a tiebreaker, not a reason to bench the higher projection.
Over his recent games Aaron Jones Sr. has drawn 46% of his team's carries, and Audric Estime 31% of his team's carries.
Aaron Jones Sr. has the bigger role, and volume is the steadiest thing a projection rests on.
These numbers are in PPR. Full PPR adds a point per catch, so it helps whichever player sees more targets.
Switch between PPR, Half PPR and Standard on the board above to rescore both players from the same sources.
Neither Aaron Jones Sr. nor Audric Estime has an injury designation for Week 9.
Designations change through the week, so check again before kickoff; this page updates with each refresh.
Each figure is the average of the projection sources that carry the player this week: StatChasers, Sleeper, ESPN, numberFire, FFToday and the betting markets (sportsbook player props). Aaron Jones Sr. is projected by 6 of them and Audric Estime by 4.
A source with no number for a player is left out of the average rather than counted as a zero.