Start Adonai Mitchell. Mitchell is projected for 11.1 PPR points vs 9.5 for Chris Godwin Jr., and faces the 2nd-toughest defense against WRs this week.
Updated Nov 7, 4:39 PM ET
| Adonai Mitchell WR · NYJ | Chris Godwin Jr. WR · TB | |
|---|---|---|
| Projection (Week 9, avg of sources) | 11.1 | 9.5 |
| Floor (lowest source) | 10.3 | 8.1 |
| Ceiling (highest source) | 11.6 | 12.5 |
| StatChasers projection | 11.4 (WR26) | 9.3 (WR46) |
| Opponent | vs KC | vs CHI |
| Opponent vs. position | 2nd-toughest (24.9 pts/g allowed) | 16th-softest (30.5 pts/g allowed) |
| Recent usage | 25% target share (last 3) | 26% target share (last 3) |
| Position | WR | WR |
| Our call | START · WR3 | SIT · Bench |
Settle every start/sit call with projections, matchup, recent usage and floor-versus-ceiling for your exact scoring settings.
Start Adonai Mitchell. Mitchell projects for 11.1 PPR points vs KC, against 9.5 for Chris Godwin Jr. vs CHI: a 1.6-point edge.
The projection is the average of every source that carries each player this week, and a player listed Out or Doubtful is never the start.
Adonai Mitchell is projected to score more: 11.1 PPR points to 9.5 for Chris Godwin Jr..
The sources range from 10.3 to 11.6 for Mitchell and from 8.1 to 12.5 for Godwin Jr.. The ranges overlap, so Godwin Jr. outscoring Mitchell is a realistic result.
Adonai Mitchell is the safer start: even the most cautious projection source has Mitchell at 10.3 PPR points, against 8.1 for Chris Godwin Jr..
Start the higher floor when you are favored and only need to avoid a dud.
Chris Godwin Jr. has the higher ceiling: the most optimistic projection source has Godwin Jr. at 12.5 PPR points, against 11.6 for Adonai Mitchell.
Start the higher ceiling when you are the underdog and need points more than safety.
Adonai Mitchell plays KC and Chris Godwin Jr. plays CHI in Week 9.
By fantasy points allowed to each position, Mitchell faces the 2nd-toughest defense against WRs and Godwin Jr. faces the 16th-softest defense against WRs, so Chris Godwin Jr. has the softer matchup.
Each projection already accounts for the opponent, so a soft matchup is a tiebreaker, not a reason to bench the higher projection.
Over his recent games Adonai Mitchell has drawn 25% of his team's targets, and Chris Godwin Jr. 26% of his team's targets.
Chris Godwin Jr. has the bigger role, and volume is the steadiest thing a projection rests on.
These numbers are in PPR. Full PPR adds a point per catch, so it helps whichever player sees more targets, which here is Chris Godwin Jr..
Switch between PPR, Half PPR and Standard on the board above to rescore both players from the same sources.
Neither Adonai Mitchell nor Chris Godwin Jr. has an injury designation for Week 9.
Designations change through the week, so check again before kickoff; this page updates with each refresh.
Each figure is the average of the projection sources that carry the player this week: StatChasers, Sleeper, ESPN, numberFire, FFToday and the betting markets (sportsbook player props). Adonai Mitchell is projected by 6 of them and Chris Godwin Jr. by 6.
A source with no number for a player is left out of the average rather than counted as a zero.