Start Dallas Goedert. Goedert is projected for 10.3 PPR points vs 8.1 for AJ Barner, and faces the 2nd-softest defense against TEs this week.
Updated Oct 30, 7:29 AM ET
| Dallas Goedert TE · PHI | AJ Barner TE · SEA | |
|---|---|---|
| Projection (Week 8, avg of sources) | 10.3 | 8.1 |
| Floor (lowest source) | 7.5 | 7.6 |
| Ceiling (highest source) | 14.0 | 8.6 |
| StatChasers projection | 14.0 (TE3) | 7.6 (TE19) |
| Opponent | vs WAS | vs CHI |
| Opponent vs. position | 2nd-softest (21.5 pts/g allowed) | 16th-softest (13.1 pts/g allowed) |
| Recent usage | 21% target share (last 3) | 14% target share (last 3) |
| Position | TE | TE |
| Our call | START · Strong TE1 | SIT · Bench |
Settle every start/sit call with projections, matchup, recent usage and floor-versus-ceiling for your exact scoring settings.
Start Dallas Goedert. Goedert projects for 10.3 PPR points vs WAS, against 8.1 for AJ Barner vs CHI: a 2.2-point edge.
The projection is the average of every source that carries each player this week, and a player listed Out or Doubtful is never the start.
Dallas Goedert is projected to score more: 10.3 PPR points to 8.1 for AJ Barner.
The sources range from 7.5 to 14.0 for Goedert and from 7.6 to 8.6 for Barner. The ranges overlap, so Barner outscoring Goedert is a realistic result.
AJ Barner is the safer start: even the most cautious projection source has Barner at 7.6 PPR points, against 7.5 for Dallas Goedert.
Start the higher floor when you are favored and only need to avoid a dud.
Dallas Goedert has the higher ceiling: the most optimistic projection source has Goedert at 14.0 PPR points, against 8.6 for AJ Barner.
Start the higher ceiling when you are the underdog and need points more than safety.
Dallas Goedert plays WAS and AJ Barner plays CHI in Week 8.
By fantasy points allowed to each position, Goedert faces the 2nd-softest defense against TEs and Barner faces the 16th-softest defense against TEs, so Dallas Goedert has the softer matchup.
Each projection already accounts for the opponent, so a soft matchup is a tiebreaker, not a reason to bench the higher projection.
Over his recent games Dallas Goedert has drawn 21% of his team's targets, and AJ Barner 14% of his team's targets.
Dallas Goedert has the bigger role, and volume is the steadiest thing a projection rests on.
These numbers are in PPR. Full PPR adds a point per catch, so it helps whichever player sees more targets, which here is Dallas Goedert.
Switch between PPR, Half PPR and Standard on the board above to rescore both players from the same sources.
Neither Dallas Goedert nor AJ Barner has an injury designation for Week 8.
Designations change through the week, so check again before kickoff; this page updates with each refresh.
Each figure is the average of the projection sources that carry the player this week: StatChasers, Sleeper, ESPN, numberFire, FFToday and the betting markets (sportsbook player props). Dallas Goedert is projected by 5 of them and AJ Barner by 5.
A source with no number for a player is left out of the average rather than counted as a zero.