Start Alvin Kamara. Kamara is projected for 8.9 PPR points vs 8.4 for Brian Robinson Jr., and faces the 15th-toughest defense against RBs this week.
Updated Oct 24, 4:47 PM ET
| Alvin Kamara RB · NO | Brian Robinson Jr. RB · ATL | |
|---|---|---|
| Projection (Week 7, avg of sources) | 8.9 | 8.4 |
| Floor (lowest source) | 7.6 | 8.4 |
| Ceiling (highest source) | 11.2 | 8.4 |
| StatChasers projection | — | — |
| Opponent | vs PIT | Bye |
| Opponent vs. position | 15th-toughest (20.5 pts/g allowed) | — |
| Recent usage | 23% carry share (last 3) | 32% carry share (last 3) |
| Position | RB | RB |
| Our call | FLEX · Flex | FLEX · Flex |
Settle every start/sit call with projections, matchup, recent usage and floor-versus-ceiling for your exact scoring settings.
Start Alvin Kamara. Kamara projects for 8.9 PPR points vs PIT, against 8.4 for Brian Robinson Jr. on a bye: a 0.5-point edge.
The projection is the average of every source that carries each player this week, and a player listed Out or Doubtful is never the start.
Alvin Kamara is projected to score more: 8.9 PPR points to 8.4 for Brian Robinson Jr..
The sources range from 7.6 to 11.2 for Kamara and from 8.4 to 8.4 for Robinson Jr.. The ranges overlap, so Robinson Jr. outscoring Kamara is a realistic result.
Brian Robinson Jr. is the safer start: even the most cautious projection source has Robinson Jr. at 8.4 PPR points, against 7.6 for Alvin Kamara.
Start the higher floor when you are favored and only need to avoid a dud.
Alvin Kamara has the higher ceiling: the most optimistic projection source has Kamara at 11.2 PPR points, against 8.4 for Brian Robinson Jr..
Start the higher ceiling when you are the underdog and need points more than safety.
Alvin Kamara plays PIT and Brian Robinson Jr. is on a bye in Week 7.
Each projection already accounts for the opponent, so a soft matchup is a tiebreaker, not a reason to bench the higher projection.
Over his recent games Alvin Kamara has drawn 23% of his team's carries, and Brian Robinson Jr. 32% of his team's carries.
Brian Robinson Jr. has the bigger role, and volume is the steadiest thing a projection rests on.
These numbers are in PPR. Full PPR adds a point per catch, so it helps whichever player sees more targets.
Switch between PPR, Half PPR and Standard on the board above to rescore both players from the same sources.
Alvin Kamara has no injury designation, and Brian Robinson Jr. is on a bye.
Designations change through the week, so check again before kickoff; this page updates with each refresh.
Each figure is the average of the projection sources that carry the player this week: StatChasers, Sleeper, ESPN, numberFire, FFToday and the betting markets (sportsbook player props). Alvin Kamara is projected by 5 of them and Brian Robinson Jr. by 1.
A source with no number for a player is left out of the average rather than counted as a zero.