Start Alvin Kamara. Kamara is projected for 8.9 PPR points vs 8.0 for Kyle Monangai, and faces the 15th-toughest defense against RBs this week.
Updated Oct 24, 4:47 PM ET
| Alvin Kamara RB · NO | Kyle Monangai RB · CHI | |
|---|---|---|
| Projection (Week 7, avg of sources) | 8.9 | 8.0 |
| Floor (lowest source) | 7.6 | 8.0 |
| Ceiling (highest source) | 11.2 | 8.0 |
| StatChasers projection | — | — |
| Opponent | vs PIT | Bye |
| Opponent vs. position | 15th-toughest (20.5 pts/g allowed) | — |
| Recent usage | 23% carry share (last 3) | 42% carry share (last 3) |
| Position | RB | RB |
| Our call | FLEX · Flex | FLEX · Flex |
Settle every start/sit call with projections, matchup, recent usage and floor-versus-ceiling for your exact scoring settings.
Start Alvin Kamara. Kamara projects for 8.9 PPR points vs PIT, against 8.0 for Kyle Monangai on a bye: a 0.9-point edge.
The projection is the average of every source that carries each player this week, and a player listed Out or Doubtful is never the start.
Alvin Kamara is projected to score more: 8.9 PPR points to 8.0 for Kyle Monangai.
The sources range from 7.6 to 11.2 for Kamara and from 8.0 to 8.0 for Monangai. The ranges overlap, so Monangai outscoring Kamara is a realistic result.
Kyle Monangai is the safer start: even the most cautious projection source has Monangai at 8.0 PPR points, against 7.6 for Alvin Kamara.
Start the higher floor when you are favored and only need to avoid a dud.
Alvin Kamara has the higher ceiling: the most optimistic projection source has Kamara at 11.2 PPR points, against 8.0 for Kyle Monangai.
Start the higher ceiling when you are the underdog and need points more than safety.
Alvin Kamara plays PIT and Kyle Monangai is on a bye in Week 7.
Each projection already accounts for the opponent, so a soft matchup is a tiebreaker, not a reason to bench the higher projection.
Over his recent games Alvin Kamara has drawn 23% of his team's carries, and Kyle Monangai 42% of his team's carries.
Kyle Monangai has the bigger role, and volume is the steadiest thing a projection rests on.
These numbers are in PPR. Full PPR adds a point per catch, so it helps whichever player sees more targets.
Switch between PPR, Half PPR and Standard on the board above to rescore both players from the same sources.
Alvin Kamara has no injury designation, and Kyle Monangai is on a bye.
Designations change through the week, so check again before kickoff; this page updates with each refresh.
Each figure is the average of the projection sources that carry the player this week: StatChasers, Sleeper, ESPN, numberFire, FFToday and the betting markets (sportsbook player props). Alvin Kamara is projected by 5 of them and Kyle Monangai by 1.
A source with no number for a player is left out of the average rather than counted as a zero.