Start Isaiah Likely. Likely is projected for 12.1 PPR points vs 11.6 for Alvin Kamara, and faces the 3rd-toughest defense against TEs this week.
Updated Nov 7, 4:39 PM ET
| Isaiah Likely TE · NYG | Alvin Kamara RB · NO | |
|---|---|---|
| Projection (Week 9, avg of sources) | 12.1 | 11.6 |
| Floor (lowest source) | 11.5 | 9.5 |
| Ceiling (highest source) | 12.7 | 12.6 |
| StatChasers projection | 12.0 (TE8) | 9.5 (RB30) |
| Opponent | vs PHI | vs CLE |
| Opponent vs. position | 3rd-toughest (9.5 pts/g allowed) | 15th-toughest (21.1 pts/g allowed) |
| Recent usage | 23% target share (last 3) | 22% carry share (last 3) |
| Position | TE | RB |
| Our call | START · TE1 | FLEX · Flex |
Settle every start/sit call with projections, matchup, recent usage and floor-versus-ceiling for your exact scoring settings.
Start Isaiah Likely. Likely projects for 12.1 PPR points vs PHI, against 11.6 for Alvin Kamara vs CLE: a 0.5-point edge.
The projection is the average of every source that carries each player this week, and a player listed Out or Doubtful is never the start.
Isaiah Likely is projected to score more: 12.1 PPR points to 11.6 for Alvin Kamara.
The sources range from 11.5 to 12.7 for Likely and from 9.5 to 12.6 for Kamara. The ranges overlap, so Kamara outscoring Likely is a realistic result.
Isaiah Likely is the safer start: even the most cautious projection source has Likely at 11.5 PPR points, against 9.5 for Alvin Kamara.
Start the higher floor when you are favored and only need to avoid a dud.
Isaiah Likely has the higher ceiling: the most optimistic projection source has Likely at 12.7 PPR points, against 12.6 for Alvin Kamara.
Start the higher ceiling when you are the underdog and need points more than safety.
Isaiah Likely plays PHI and Alvin Kamara plays CLE in Week 9.
By fantasy points allowed to each position, Likely faces the 3rd-toughest defense against TEs and Kamara faces the 15th-toughest defense against RBs, so Alvin Kamara has the softer matchup.
Each projection already accounts for the opponent, so a soft matchup is a tiebreaker, not a reason to bench the higher projection.
Over his recent games Isaiah Likely has drawn 23% of his team's targets, and Alvin Kamara 22% of his team's carries.
These numbers are in PPR. Full PPR adds a point per catch, so it helps whichever player sees more targets, which here is Isaiah Likely.
Switch between PPR, Half PPR and Standard on the board above to rescore both players from the same sources.
Neither Isaiah Likely nor Alvin Kamara has an injury designation for Week 9.
Designations change through the week, so check again before kickoff; this page updates with each refresh.
Each figure is the average of the projection sources that carry the player this week: StatChasers, Sleeper, ESPN, numberFire, FFToday and the betting markets (sportsbook player props). Isaiah Likely is projected by 5 of them and Alvin Kamara by 6.
A source with no number for a player is left out of the average rather than counted as a zero.