Too close to call: DJ Moore (12.2) and Isaiah Likely (12.1) project within 0.1 PPR points of each other in Week 9, and DJ Moore faces the 4th-toughest defense against WRs.
Updated Nov 7, 4:39 PM ET
| DJ Moore WR · BUF | Isaiah Likely TE · NYG | |
|---|---|---|
| Projection (Week 9, avg of sources) | 12.2 | 12.1 |
| Floor (lowest source) | 11.3 | 11.5 |
| Ceiling (highest source) | 13.1 | 12.7 |
| StatChasers projection | 11.3 (WR28) | 12.0 (TE8) |
| Opponent | vs MIN | vs PHI |
| Opponent vs. position | 4th-toughest (25.9 pts/g allowed) | 3rd-toughest (9.5 pts/g allowed) |
| Recent usage | 21% target share (last 3) | 23% target share (last 3) |
| Position | WR | TE |
| Our call | START · WR3 | START · TE1 |
Settle every start/sit call with projections, matchup, recent usage and floor-versus-ceiling for your exact scoring settings.
It is a coin flip. DJ Moore projects for 12.2 PPR points and Isaiah Likely for 12.1, within 0.1 of each other.
Break the tie with the floor if you are favored this week, and with the ceiling if you need a big game to win.
They are projected almost level: 12.2 PPR points for DJ Moore and 12.1 for Isaiah Likely.
The sources range from 11.3 to 13.1 for Moore and from 11.5 to 12.7 for Likely. Either result is well inside both ranges.
Isaiah Likely is the safer start: even the most cautious projection source has Likely at 11.5 PPR points, against 11.3 for DJ Moore.
Start the higher floor when you are favored and only need to avoid a dud.
DJ Moore has the higher ceiling: the most optimistic projection source has Moore at 13.1 PPR points, against 12.7 for Isaiah Likely.
Start the higher ceiling when you are the underdog and need points more than safety.
DJ Moore plays MIN and Isaiah Likely plays PHI in Week 9.
By fantasy points allowed to each position, Moore faces the 4th-toughest defense against WRs and Likely faces the 3rd-toughest defense against TEs, so DJ Moore has the softer matchup.
Each projection already accounts for the opponent, so a soft matchup is a tiebreaker, not a reason to bench the higher projection.
Over his recent games DJ Moore has drawn 21% of his team's targets, and Isaiah Likely 23% of his team's targets.
Isaiah Likely has the bigger role, and volume is the steadiest thing a projection rests on.
These numbers are in PPR. Full PPR adds a point per catch, so it helps whichever player sees more targets, which here is Isaiah Likely.
Switch between PPR, Half PPR and Standard on the board above to rescore both players from the same sources.
Neither DJ Moore nor Isaiah Likely has an injury designation for Week 9.
Designations change through the week, so check again before kickoff; this page updates with each refresh.
Each figure is the average of the projection sources that carry the player this week: StatChasers, Sleeper, ESPN, numberFire, FFToday and the betting markets (sportsbook player props). DJ Moore is projected by 6 of them and Isaiah Likely by 5.
A source with no number for a player is left out of the average rather than counted as a zero.