Too close to call: Baker Mayfield (13.8) and Sam Darnold (13.7) project within 0.1 PPR points of each other in Week 7, and Baker Mayfield faces the 13th-softest defense against QBs.
Updated Oct 24, 4:47 PM ET
| Baker Mayfield QB · TB | Sam Darnold QB · SEA | |
|---|---|---|
| Projection (Week 7, avg of sources) | 13.8 | 13.7 |
| Floor (lowest source) | 10.8 | 11.4 |
| Ceiling (highest source) | 15.4 | 15.3 |
| StatChasers projection | — | — |
| Opponent | vs CAR | vs KC |
| Opponent vs. position | 13th-softest (18.6 pts/g allowed) | 3rd-toughest (12.6 pts/g allowed) |
| Recent usage | — | — |
| Position | QB | QB |
| Our call | SIT · Bench | SIT · Bench |
Settle every start/sit call with projections, matchup, recent usage and floor-versus-ceiling for your exact scoring settings.
It is a coin flip. Baker Mayfield projects for 13.8 PPR points and Sam Darnold for 13.7, within 0.1 of each other.
Break the tie with the floor if you are favored this week, and with the ceiling if you need a big game to win.
They are projected almost level: 13.8 PPR points for Baker Mayfield and 13.7 for Sam Darnold.
The sources range from 10.8 to 15.4 for Mayfield and from 11.4 to 15.3 for Darnold. Either result is well inside both ranges.
Sam Darnold is the safer start: even the most cautious projection source has Darnold at 11.4 PPR points, against 10.8 for Baker Mayfield.
Start the higher floor when you are favored and only need to avoid a dud.
Baker Mayfield has the higher ceiling: the most optimistic projection source has Mayfield at 15.4 PPR points, against 15.3 for Sam Darnold.
Start the higher ceiling when you are the underdog and need points more than safety.
Baker Mayfield plays CAR and Sam Darnold plays KC in Week 7.
By fantasy points allowed to each position, Mayfield faces the 13th-softest defense against QBs and Darnold faces the 3rd-toughest defense against QBs, so Baker Mayfield has the softer matchup.
Each projection already accounts for the opponent, so a soft matchup is a tiebreaker, not a reason to bench the higher projection.
These numbers are in PPR. Full PPR adds a point per catch, so it helps whichever player sees more targets.
Switch between PPR, Half PPR and Standard on the board above to rescore both players from the same sources.
Neither Baker Mayfield nor Sam Darnold has an injury designation for Week 7.
Designations change through the week, so check again before kickoff; this page updates with each refresh.
Each figure is the average of the projection sources that carry the player this week: StatChasers, Sleeper, ESPN, numberFire, FFToday and the betting markets (sportsbook player props). Baker Mayfield is projected by 5 of them and Sam Darnold by 5.
A source with no number for a player is left out of the average rather than counted as a zero.