Start Bijan Robinson. Robinson is projected for 21.2 PPR points vs 14.4 for Bhayshul Tuten, and faces the 7th-toughest defense against RBs this week.
Updated Nov 7, 4:39 PM ET
| Bijan Robinson RB · ATL | Bhayshul Tuten RB · JAX | |
|---|---|---|
| Projection (Week 9, avg of sources) | 21.2 | 14.4 |
| Floor (lowest source) | 17.5 | 13.5 |
| Ceiling (highest source) | 23.7 | 15.3 |
| StatChasers projection | 22.4 (RB3) | — |
| Opponent | vs CIN | vs BAL |
| Opponent vs. position | 7th-toughest (19.4 pts/g allowed) | 8th-toughest (19.5 pts/g allowed) |
| Recent usage | 70% carry share (last 3) | 57% carry share (last 3) |
| Position | RB | RB |
| Our call | START · Strong RB1 | START · RB2 |
Settle every start/sit call with projections, matchup, recent usage and floor-versus-ceiling for your exact scoring settings.
Start Bijan Robinson. Robinson projects for 21.2 PPR points vs CIN, against 14.4 for Bhayshul Tuten vs BAL: a 6.8-point edge.
The projection is the average of every source that carries each player this week, and a player listed Out or Doubtful is never the start.
Bijan Robinson is projected to score more: 21.2 PPR points to 14.4 for Bhayshul Tuten.
The sources range from 17.5 to 23.7 for Robinson and from 13.5 to 15.3 for Tuten. Even Tuten's highest projection is below Robinson's lowest.
Bijan Robinson is the safer start: even the most cautious projection source has Robinson at 17.5 PPR points, against 13.5 for Bhayshul Tuten.
Start the higher floor when you are favored and only need to avoid a dud.
Bijan Robinson has the higher ceiling: the most optimistic projection source has Robinson at 23.7 PPR points, against 15.3 for Bhayshul Tuten.
Start the higher ceiling when you are the underdog and need points more than safety.
Bijan Robinson plays CIN and Bhayshul Tuten plays BAL in Week 9.
By fantasy points allowed to each position, Robinson faces the 7th-toughest defense against RBs and Tuten faces the 8th-toughest defense against RBs, so Bhayshul Tuten has the softer matchup.
Each projection already accounts for the opponent, so a soft matchup is a tiebreaker, not a reason to bench the higher projection.
Over his recent games Bijan Robinson has drawn 70% of his team's carries, and Bhayshul Tuten 57% of his team's carries.
Bijan Robinson has the bigger role, and volume is the steadiest thing a projection rests on.
These numbers are in PPR. Full PPR adds a point per catch, so it helps whichever player sees more targets.
Switch between PPR, Half PPR and Standard on the board above to rescore both players from the same sources.
Neither Bijan Robinson nor Bhayshul Tuten has an injury designation for Week 9.
Designations change through the week, so check again before kickoff; this page updates with each refresh.
Each figure is the average of the projection sources that carry the player this week: StatChasers, Sleeper, ESPN, numberFire, FFToday and the betting markets (sportsbook player props). Bijan Robinson is projected by 6 of them and Bhayshul Tuten by 5.
A source with no number for a player is left out of the average rather than counted as a zero.