Start Bijan Robinson. Robinson is projected for 21.2 PPR points vs 18.7 for Brock Bowers, and faces the 7th-toughest defense against RBs this week.
Updated Nov 7, 4:39 PM ET
| Bijan Robinson RB · ATL | Brock Bowers TE · LV | |
|---|---|---|
| Projection (Week 9, avg of sources) | 21.2 | 18.7 |
| Floor (lowest source) | 17.5 | 17.9 |
| Ceiling (highest source) | 23.7 | 20.2 |
| StatChasers projection | 22.4 (RB3) | 18.7 (TE1) |
| Opponent | vs CIN | vs SF |
| Opponent vs. position | 7th-toughest (19.4 pts/g allowed) | 10th-toughest (12.0 pts/g allowed) |
| Recent usage | 70% carry share (last 3) | 25% target share (last 3) |
| Position | RB | TE |
| Our call | START · Strong RB1 | START · Strong TE1 |
Settle every start/sit call with projections, matchup, recent usage and floor-versus-ceiling for your exact scoring settings.
Start Bijan Robinson. Robinson projects for 21.2 PPR points vs CIN, against 18.7 for Brock Bowers vs SF: a 2.5-point edge.
The projection is the average of every source that carries each player this week, and a player listed Out or Doubtful is never the start.
Bijan Robinson is projected to score more: 21.2 PPR points to 18.7 for Brock Bowers.
The sources range from 17.5 to 23.7 for Robinson and from 17.9 to 20.2 for Bowers. The ranges overlap, so Bowers outscoring Robinson is a realistic result.
Brock Bowers is the safer start: even the most cautious projection source has Bowers at 17.9 PPR points, against 17.5 for Bijan Robinson.
Start the higher floor when you are favored and only need to avoid a dud.
Bijan Robinson has the higher ceiling: the most optimistic projection source has Robinson at 23.7 PPR points, against 20.2 for Brock Bowers.
Start the higher ceiling when you are the underdog and need points more than safety.
Bijan Robinson plays CIN and Brock Bowers plays SF in Week 9.
By fantasy points allowed to each position, Robinson faces the 7th-toughest defense against RBs and Bowers faces the 10th-toughest defense against TEs, so Brock Bowers has the softer matchup.
Each projection already accounts for the opponent, so a soft matchup is a tiebreaker, not a reason to bench the higher projection.
Over his recent games Bijan Robinson has drawn 70% of his team's carries, and Brock Bowers 25% of his team's targets.
These numbers are in PPR. Full PPR adds a point per catch, so it helps whichever player sees more targets, which here is Brock Bowers.
Switch between PPR, Half PPR and Standard on the board above to rescore both players from the same sources.
Neither Bijan Robinson nor Brock Bowers has an injury designation for Week 9.
Designations change through the week, so check again before kickoff; this page updates with each refresh.
Each figure is the average of the projection sources that carry the player this week: StatChasers, Sleeper, ESPN, numberFire, FFToday and the betting markets (sportsbook player props). Bijan Robinson is projected by 6 of them and Brock Bowers by 5.
A source with no number for a player is left out of the average rather than counted as a zero.