Start Ja'Marr Chase. Chase is projected for 21.1 PPR points vs 19.1 for Trey McBride, and faces the 8th-softest defense against WRs this week.
Updated Oct 30, 7:29 AM ET
| Ja'Marr Chase WR · CIN | Trey McBride TE · ARI | |
|---|---|---|
| Projection (Week 8, avg of sources) | 21.1 | 19.1 |
| Floor (lowest source) | 19.9 | 17.0 |
| Ceiling (highest source) | 22.0 | 21.3 |
| StatChasers projection | 19.9 (WR4) | 20.2 (TE1) |
| Opponent | vs TEN | vs DAL |
| Opponent vs. position | 8th-softest (35.8 pts/g allowed) | 14th-toughest (12.4 pts/g allowed) |
| Recent usage | 18% target share (last 3) | 26% target share (last 3) |
| Position | WR | TE |
| Our call | START · Strong WR1 | START · Strong TE1 |
Settle every start/sit call with projections, matchup, recent usage and floor-versus-ceiling for your exact scoring settings.
Start Ja'Marr Chase. Chase projects for 21.1 PPR points vs TEN, against 19.1 for Trey McBride vs DAL: a 2.0-point edge.
The projection is the average of every source that carries each player this week, and a player listed Out or Doubtful is never the start.
Ja'Marr Chase is projected to score more: 21.1 PPR points to 19.1 for Trey McBride.
The sources range from 19.9 to 22.0 for Chase and from 17.0 to 21.3 for McBride. The ranges overlap, so McBride outscoring Chase is a realistic result.
Ja'Marr Chase is the safer start: even the most cautious projection source has Chase at 19.9 PPR points, against 17.0 for Trey McBride.
Start the higher floor when you are favored and only need to avoid a dud.
Ja'Marr Chase has the higher ceiling: the most optimistic projection source has Chase at 22.0 PPR points, against 21.3 for Trey McBride.
Start the higher ceiling when you are the underdog and need points more than safety.
Ja'Marr Chase plays TEN and Trey McBride plays DAL in Week 8.
By fantasy points allowed to each position, Chase faces the 8th-softest defense against WRs and McBride faces the 14th-toughest defense against TEs, so Ja'Marr Chase has the softer matchup.
Each projection already accounts for the opponent, so a soft matchup is a tiebreaker, not a reason to bench the higher projection.
Over his recent games Ja'Marr Chase has drawn 18% of his team's targets, and Trey McBride 26% of his team's targets.
Trey McBride has the bigger role, and volume is the steadiest thing a projection rests on.
These numbers are in PPR. Full PPR adds a point per catch, so it helps whichever player sees more targets, which here is Trey McBride.
Switch between PPR, Half PPR and Standard on the board above to rescore both players from the same sources.
Neither Ja'Marr Chase nor Trey McBride has an injury designation for Week 8.
Designations change through the week, so check again before kickoff; this page updates with each refresh.
Each figure is the average of the projection sources that carry the player this week: StatChasers, Sleeper, ESPN, numberFire, FFToday and the betting markets (sportsbook player props). Ja'Marr Chase is projected by 5 of them and Trey McBride by 5.
A source with no number for a player is left out of the average rather than counted as a zero.