Start Chase Brown. Brown is projected for 14.8 PPR points vs 14.3 for Breece Hall, and faces the 6th-toughest defense against RBs this week.
Updated Oct 24, 4:47 PM ET
| Chase Brown RB · CIN | Breece Hall RB · NYJ | |
|---|---|---|
| Projection (Week 7, avg of sources) | 14.8 | 14.3 |
| Floor (lowest source) | 14.3 | 13.0 |
| Ceiling (highest source) | 15.2 | 15.9 |
| StatChasers projection | — | — |
| Opponent | vs BAL | vs MIA |
| Opponent vs. position | 6th-toughest (18.5 pts/g allowed) | 4th-softest (26.1 pts/g allowed) |
| Recent usage | 55% carry share (last 3) | 60% carry share (last 3) |
| Position | RB | RB |
| Our call | START · RB2 | START · RB2 |
Settle every start/sit call with projections, matchup, recent usage and floor-versus-ceiling for your exact scoring settings.
Start Chase Brown. Brown projects for 14.8 PPR points vs BAL, against 14.3 for Breece Hall vs MIA: a 0.5-point edge.
The projection is the average of every source that carries each player this week, and a player listed Out or Doubtful is never the start.
Chase Brown is projected to score more: 14.8 PPR points to 14.3 for Breece Hall.
The sources range from 14.3 to 15.2 for Brown and from 13.0 to 15.9 for Hall. The ranges overlap, so Hall outscoring Brown is a realistic result.
Chase Brown is the safer start: even the most cautious projection source has Brown at 14.3 PPR points, against 13.0 for Breece Hall.
Start the higher floor when you are favored and only need to avoid a dud.
Breece Hall has the higher ceiling: the most optimistic projection source has Hall at 15.9 PPR points, against 15.2 for Chase Brown.
Start the higher ceiling when you are the underdog and need points more than safety.
Chase Brown plays BAL and Breece Hall plays MIA in Week 7.
By fantasy points allowed to each position, Brown faces the 6th-toughest defense against RBs and Hall faces the 4th-softest defense against RBs, so Breece Hall has the softer matchup.
Each projection already accounts for the opponent, so a soft matchup is a tiebreaker, not a reason to bench the higher projection.
Over his recent games Chase Brown has drawn 55% of his team's carries, and Breece Hall 60% of his team's carries.
Breece Hall has the bigger role, and volume is the steadiest thing a projection rests on.
These numbers are in PPR. Full PPR adds a point per catch, so it helps whichever player sees more targets.
Switch between PPR, Half PPR and Standard on the board above to rescore both players from the same sources.
Neither Chase Brown nor Breece Hall has an injury designation for Week 7.
Designations change through the week, so check again before kickoff; this page updates with each refresh.
Each figure is the average of the projection sources that carry the player this week: StatChasers, Sleeper, ESPN, numberFire, FFToday and the betting markets (sportsbook player props). Chase Brown is projected by 4 of them and Breece Hall by 4.
A source with no number for a player is left out of the average rather than counted as a zero.