Too close to call: Chase Brown (14.8) and Tetairoa McMillan (14.8) project within 0.0 PPR points of each other in Week 7, and Chase Brown faces the 6th-toughest defense against RBs.
Updated Oct 24, 4:47 PM ET
| Chase Brown RB · CIN | Tetairoa McMillan WR · CAR | |
|---|---|---|
| Projection (Week 7, avg of sources) | 14.8 | 14.8 |
| Floor (lowest source) | 14.3 | 14.1 |
| Ceiling (highest source) | 15.2 | 15.8 |
| StatChasers projection | — | — |
| Opponent | vs BAL | vs TB |
| Opponent vs. position | 6th-toughest (18.5 pts/g allowed) | 14th-softest (32.9 pts/g allowed) |
| Recent usage | 55% carry share (last 3) | 26% target share (last 3) |
| Position | RB | WR |
| Our call | START · RB2 | START · WR2 |
Settle every start/sit call with projections, matchup, recent usage and floor-versus-ceiling for your exact scoring settings.
It is a coin flip. Chase Brown projects for 14.8 PPR points and Tetairoa McMillan for 14.8, within 0.0 of each other.
Break the tie with the floor if you are favored this week, and with the ceiling if you need a big game to win.
They are projected almost level: 14.8 PPR points for Chase Brown and 14.8 for Tetairoa McMillan.
The sources range from 14.3 to 15.2 for Brown and from 14.1 to 15.8 for McMillan. Either result is well inside both ranges.
Chase Brown is the safer start: even the most cautious projection source has Brown at 14.3 PPR points, against 14.1 for Tetairoa McMillan.
Start the higher floor when you are favored and only need to avoid a dud.
Tetairoa McMillan has the higher ceiling: the most optimistic projection source has McMillan at 15.8 PPR points, against 15.2 for Chase Brown.
Start the higher ceiling when you are the underdog and need points more than safety.
Chase Brown plays BAL and Tetairoa McMillan plays TB in Week 7.
By fantasy points allowed to each position, Brown faces the 6th-toughest defense against RBs and McMillan faces the 14th-softest defense against WRs, so Tetairoa McMillan has the softer matchup.
Each projection already accounts for the opponent, so a soft matchup is a tiebreaker, not a reason to bench the higher projection.
Over his recent games Chase Brown has drawn 55% of his team's carries, and Tetairoa McMillan 26% of his team's targets.
These numbers are in PPR. Full PPR adds a point per catch, so it helps whichever player sees more targets, which here is Tetairoa McMillan.
Switch between PPR, Half PPR and Standard on the board above to rescore both players from the same sources.
Neither Chase Brown nor Tetairoa McMillan has an injury designation for Week 7.
Designations change through the week, so check again before kickoff; this page updates with each refresh.
Each figure is the average of the projection sources that carry the player this week: StatChasers, Sleeper, ESPN, numberFire, FFToday and the betting markets (sportsbook player props). Chase Brown is projected by 4 of them and Tetairoa McMillan by 4.
A source with no number for a player is left out of the average rather than counted as a zero.