Start Brock Bowers. Bowers is projected for 16.8 PPR points vs 15.8 for Christian Watson, and faces the 6th-toughest defense against TEs this week.
Updated Oct 30, 7:29 AM ET
| Brock Bowers TE · LV | Christian Watson WR · GB | |
|---|---|---|
| Projection (Week 8, avg of sources) | 16.8 | 15.8 |
| Floor (lowest source) | 15.2 | 14.5 |
| Ceiling (highest source) | 18.7 | 18.2 |
| StatChasers projection | 16.9 (TE2) | 15.2 (WR13) |
| Opponent | vs NYJ | vs CAR |
| Opponent vs. position | 6th-toughest (10.4 pts/g allowed) | 6th-toughest (27.7 pts/g allowed) |
| Recent usage | 23% target share (last 3) | 21% target share (last 3) |
| Position | TE | WR |
| Our call | START · Strong TE1 | START · WR2 |
Settle every start/sit call with projections, matchup, recent usage and floor-versus-ceiling for your exact scoring settings.
Start Brock Bowers. Bowers projects for 16.8 PPR points vs NYJ, against 15.8 for Christian Watson vs CAR: a 1.0-point edge.
The projection is the average of every source that carries each player this week, and a player listed Out or Doubtful is never the start.
Brock Bowers is projected to score more: 16.8 PPR points to 15.8 for Christian Watson.
The sources range from 15.2 to 18.7 for Bowers and from 14.5 to 18.2 for Watson. The ranges overlap, so Watson outscoring Bowers is a realistic result.
Brock Bowers is the safer start: even the most cautious projection source has Bowers at 15.2 PPR points, against 14.5 for Christian Watson.
Start the higher floor when you are favored and only need to avoid a dud.
Brock Bowers has the higher ceiling: the most optimistic projection source has Bowers at 18.7 PPR points, against 18.2 for Christian Watson.
Start the higher ceiling when you are the underdog and need points more than safety.
Brock Bowers plays NYJ and Christian Watson plays CAR in Week 8.
By fantasy points allowed to each position, Bowers faces the 6th-toughest defense against TEs and Watson faces the 6th-toughest defense against WRs, so Brock Bowers has the softer matchup.
Each projection already accounts for the opponent, so a soft matchup is a tiebreaker, not a reason to bench the higher projection.
Over his recent games Brock Bowers has drawn 23% of his team's targets, and Christian Watson 21% of his team's targets.
Brock Bowers has the bigger role, and volume is the steadiest thing a projection rests on.
These numbers are in PPR. Full PPR adds a point per catch, so it helps whichever player sees more targets, which here is Brock Bowers.
Switch between PPR, Half PPR and Standard on the board above to rescore both players from the same sources.
Neither Brock Bowers nor Christian Watson has an injury designation for Week 8.
Designations change through the week, so check again before kickoff; this page updates with each refresh.
Each figure is the average of the projection sources that carry the player this week: StatChasers, Sleeper, ESPN, numberFire, FFToday and the betting markets (sportsbook player props). Brock Bowers is projected by 5 of them and Christian Watson by 5.
A source with no number for a player is left out of the average rather than counted as a zero.