Too close to call: Jaylen Warren (15.9) and Christian Watson (15.8) project within 0.1 PPR points of each other in Week 8, and Jaylen Warren faces the 8th-toughest defense against RBs.
Updated Oct 30, 7:29 AM ET
| Jaylen Warren RB · PIT | Christian Watson WR · GB | |
|---|---|---|
| Projection (Week 8, avg of sources) | 15.9 | 15.8 |
| Floor (lowest source) | 14.9 | 14.5 |
| Ceiling (highest source) | 16.9 | 18.2 |
| StatChasers projection | 16.5 (RB11) | 15.2 (WR13) |
| Opponent | vs CLE | vs CAR |
| Opponent vs. position | 8th-toughest (19.4 pts/g allowed) | 6th-toughest (27.7 pts/g allowed) |
| Recent usage | 64% carry share (last 3) | 21% target share (last 3) |
| Position | RB | WR |
| Our call | START · Strong RB1 | START · WR2 |
Settle every start/sit call with projections, matchup, recent usage and floor-versus-ceiling for your exact scoring settings.
It is a coin flip. Jaylen Warren projects for 15.9 PPR points and Christian Watson for 15.8, within 0.1 of each other.
Break the tie with the floor if you are favored this week, and with the ceiling if you need a big game to win.
They are projected almost level: 15.9 PPR points for Jaylen Warren and 15.8 for Christian Watson.
The sources range from 14.9 to 16.9 for Warren and from 14.5 to 18.2 for Watson. Either result is well inside both ranges.
Jaylen Warren is the safer start: even the most cautious projection source has Warren at 14.9 PPR points, against 14.5 for Christian Watson.
Start the higher floor when you are favored and only need to avoid a dud.
Christian Watson has the higher ceiling: the most optimistic projection source has Watson at 18.2 PPR points, against 16.9 for Jaylen Warren.
Start the higher ceiling when you are the underdog and need points more than safety.
Jaylen Warren plays CLE and Christian Watson plays CAR in Week 8.
By fantasy points allowed to each position, Warren faces the 8th-toughest defense against RBs and Watson faces the 6th-toughest defense against WRs, so Jaylen Warren has the softer matchup.
Each projection already accounts for the opponent, so a soft matchup is a tiebreaker, not a reason to bench the higher projection.
Over his recent games Jaylen Warren has drawn 64% of his team's carries, and Christian Watson 21% of his team's targets.
These numbers are in PPR. Full PPR adds a point per catch, so it helps whichever player sees more targets, which here is Christian Watson.
Switch between PPR, Half PPR and Standard on the board above to rescore both players from the same sources.
Neither Jaylen Warren nor Christian Watson has an injury designation for Week 8.
Designations change through the week, so check again before kickoff; this page updates with each refresh.
Each figure is the average of the projection sources that carry the player this week: StatChasers, Sleeper, ESPN, numberFire, FFToday and the betting markets (sportsbook player props). Jaylen Warren is projected by 6 of them and Christian Watson by 5.
A source with no number for a player is left out of the average rather than counted as a zero.