Start Drew Lock. Lock is projected for 16.0 PPR points vs 15.3 for Bryce Young, and faces the 2nd-softest defense against QBs this week.
Updated Nov 7, 4:39 PM ET
| Drew Lock QB · SEA | Bryce Young QB · CAR | |
|---|---|---|
| Projection (Week 9, avg of sources) | 16.0 | 15.3 |
| Floor (lowest source) | 13.6 | 11.6 |
| Ceiling (highest source) | 17.2 | 17.0 |
| StatChasers projection | 16.2 (QB18) | 15.4 (QB20) |
| Opponent | vs ARI | vs DEN |
| Opponent vs. position | 2nd-softest (22.3 pts/g allowed) | 14th-toughest (17.3 pts/g allowed) |
| Recent usage | — | — |
| Position | QB | QB |
| Our call | SIT · Bench | SIT · Bench |
Settle every start/sit call with projections, matchup, recent usage and floor-versus-ceiling for your exact scoring settings.
Start Drew Lock. Lock projects for 16.0 PPR points vs ARI, against 15.3 for Bryce Young vs DEN: a 0.7-point edge.
The projection is the average of every source that carries each player this week, and a player listed Out or Doubtful is never the start.
Drew Lock is projected to score more: 16.0 PPR points to 15.3 for Bryce Young.
The sources range from 13.6 to 17.2 for Lock and from 11.6 to 17.0 for Young. The ranges overlap, so Young outscoring Lock is a realistic result.
Drew Lock is the safer start: even the most cautious projection source has Lock at 13.6 PPR points, against 11.6 for Bryce Young.
Start the higher floor when you are favored and only need to avoid a dud.
Drew Lock has the higher ceiling: the most optimistic projection source has Lock at 17.2 PPR points, against 17.0 for Bryce Young.
Start the higher ceiling when you are the underdog and need points more than safety.
Drew Lock plays ARI and Bryce Young plays DEN in Week 9.
By fantasy points allowed to each position, Lock faces the 2nd-softest defense against QBs and Young faces the 14th-toughest defense against QBs, so Drew Lock has the softer matchup.
Each projection already accounts for the opponent, so a soft matchup is a tiebreaker, not a reason to bench the higher projection.
These numbers are in PPR. Full PPR adds a point per catch, so it helps whichever player sees more targets.
Switch between PPR, Half PPR and Standard on the board above to rescore both players from the same sources.
Neither Drew Lock nor Bryce Young has an injury designation for Week 9.
Designations change through the week, so check again before kickoff; this page updates with each refresh.
Each figure is the average of the projection sources that carry the player this week: StatChasers, Sleeper, ESPN, numberFire, FFToday and the betting markets (sportsbook player props). Drew Lock is projected by 6 of them and Bryce Young by 6.
A source with no number for a player is left out of the average rather than counted as a zero.