Start C.J. Stroud. Stroud is projected for 17.1 PPR points vs 16.0 for Drew Lock, and faces the 8th-toughest defense against QBs this week.
Updated Nov 7, 4:39 PM ET
| C.J. Stroud QB · HOU | Drew Lock QB · SEA | |
|---|---|---|
| Projection (Week 9, avg of sources) | 17.1 | 16.0 |
| Floor (lowest source) | 16.7 | 13.6 |
| Ceiling (highest source) | 17.6 | 17.2 |
| StatChasers projection | 17.6 (QB13) | 16.2 (QB18) |
| Opponent | vs LAC | vs ARI |
| Opponent vs. position | 8th-toughest (14.3 pts/g allowed) | 2nd-softest (22.3 pts/g allowed) |
| Recent usage | — | — |
| Position | QB | QB |
| Our call | FLEX · Streamer | SIT · Bench |
Settle every start/sit call with projections, matchup, recent usage and floor-versus-ceiling for your exact scoring settings.
Start C.J. Stroud. Stroud projects for 17.1 PPR points vs LAC, against 16.0 for Drew Lock vs ARI: a 1.1-point edge.
The projection is the average of every source that carries each player this week, and a player listed Out or Doubtful is never the start.
C.J. Stroud is projected to score more: 17.1 PPR points to 16.0 for Drew Lock.
The sources range from 16.7 to 17.6 for Stroud and from 13.6 to 17.2 for Lock. The ranges overlap, so Lock outscoring Stroud is a realistic result.
C.J. Stroud is the safer start: even the most cautious projection source has Stroud at 16.7 PPR points, against 13.6 for Drew Lock.
Start the higher floor when you are favored and only need to avoid a dud.
C.J. Stroud has the higher ceiling: the most optimistic projection source has Stroud at 17.6 PPR points, against 17.2 for Drew Lock.
Start the higher ceiling when you are the underdog and need points more than safety.
C.J. Stroud plays LAC and Drew Lock plays ARI in Week 9.
By fantasy points allowed to each position, Stroud faces the 8th-toughest defense against QBs and Lock faces the 2nd-softest defense against QBs, so Drew Lock has the softer matchup.
Each projection already accounts for the opponent, so a soft matchup is a tiebreaker, not a reason to bench the higher projection.
These numbers are in PPR. Full PPR adds a point per catch, so it helps whichever player sees more targets.
Switch between PPR, Half PPR and Standard on the board above to rescore both players from the same sources.
Neither C.J. Stroud nor Drew Lock has an injury designation for Week 9.
Designations change through the week, so check again before kickoff; this page updates with each refresh.
Each figure is the average of the projection sources that carry the player this week: StatChasers, Sleeper, ESPN, numberFire, FFToday and the betting markets (sportsbook player props). C.J. Stroud is projected by 6 of them and Drew Lock by 6.
A source with no number for a player is left out of the average rather than counted as a zero.