Too close to call: Caleb Douglas (7.6) and Keon Coleman (7.4) project within 0.2 PPR points of each other in Week 8, and Caleb Douglas faces the 13th-softest defense against WRs.
Updated Oct 30, 7:29 AM ET
| Caleb Douglas WR · MIA | Keon Coleman WR · BUF | |
|---|---|---|
| Projection (Week 8, avg of sources) | 7.6 | 7.4 |
| Floor (lowest source) | 5.1 | 6.7 |
| Ceiling (highest source) | 9.2 | 8.0 |
| StatChasers projection | 8.8 (WR46) | 7.0 (WR56) |
| Opponent | vs NE | vs BAL |
| Opponent vs. position | 13th-softest (32.1 pts/g allowed) | 7th-softest (35.8 pts/g allowed) |
| Recent usage | 18% target share (last 3) | 19% target share (last 3) |
| Position | WR | WR |
| Our call | SIT · Bench | SIT · Bench |
Settle every start/sit call with projections, matchup, recent usage and floor-versus-ceiling for your exact scoring settings.
It is a coin flip. Caleb Douglas projects for 7.6 PPR points and Keon Coleman for 7.4, within 0.2 of each other.
Break the tie with the floor if you are favored this week, and with the ceiling if you need a big game to win.
They are projected almost level: 7.6 PPR points for Caleb Douglas and 7.4 for Keon Coleman.
The sources range from 5.1 to 9.2 for Douglas and from 6.7 to 8.0 for Coleman. Either result is well inside both ranges.
Keon Coleman is the safer start: even the most cautious projection source has Coleman at 6.7 PPR points, against 5.1 for Caleb Douglas.
Start the higher floor when you are favored and only need to avoid a dud.
Caleb Douglas has the higher ceiling: the most optimistic projection source has Douglas at 9.2 PPR points, against 8.0 for Keon Coleman.
Start the higher ceiling when you are the underdog and need points more than safety.
Caleb Douglas plays NE and Keon Coleman plays BAL in Week 8.
By fantasy points allowed to each position, Douglas faces the 13th-softest defense against WRs and Coleman faces the 7th-softest defense against WRs, so Keon Coleman has the softer matchup.
Each projection already accounts for the opponent, so a soft matchup is a tiebreaker, not a reason to bench the higher projection.
Over his recent games Caleb Douglas has drawn 18% of his team's targets, and Keon Coleman 19% of his team's targets.
Keon Coleman has the bigger role, and volume is the steadiest thing a projection rests on.
These numbers are in PPR. Full PPR adds a point per catch, so it helps whichever player sees more targets, which here is Keon Coleman.
Switch between PPR, Half PPR and Standard on the board above to rescore both players from the same sources.
Neither Caleb Douglas nor Keon Coleman has an injury designation for Week 8.
Designations change through the week, so check again before kickoff; this page updates with each refresh.
Each figure is the average of the projection sources that carry the player this week: StatChasers, Sleeper, ESPN, numberFire, FFToday and the betting markets (sportsbook player props). Caleb Douglas is projected by 5 of them and Keon Coleman by 5.
A source with no number for a player is left out of the average rather than counted as a zero.