Start Caleb Douglas. Douglas is projected for 7.6 PPR points vs 6.9 for Quentin Johnston, and faces the 13th-softest defense against WRs this week.
Updated Oct 30, 7:29 AM ET
| Caleb Douglas WR · MIA | Quentin Johnston WR · LAC | |
|---|---|---|
| Projection (Week 8, avg of sources) | 7.6 | 6.9 |
| Floor (lowest source) | 5.1 | 5.3 |
| Ceiling (highest source) | 9.2 | 8.8 |
| StatChasers projection | 8.8 (WR46) | 5.3 (WR70) |
| Opponent | vs NE | vs LAR |
| Opponent vs. position | 13th-softest (32.1 pts/g allowed) | 5th-toughest (26.8 pts/g allowed) |
| Recent usage | 18% target share (last 3) | 11% target share (last 3) |
| Position | WR | WR |
| Our call | SIT · Bench | SIT · Bench |
Settle every start/sit call with projections, matchup, recent usage and floor-versus-ceiling for your exact scoring settings.
Start Caleb Douglas. Douglas projects for 7.6 PPR points vs NE, against 6.9 for Quentin Johnston vs LAR: a 0.7-point edge.
The projection is the average of every source that carries each player this week, and a player listed Out or Doubtful is never the start.
Caleb Douglas is projected to score more: 7.6 PPR points to 6.9 for Quentin Johnston.
The sources range from 5.1 to 9.2 for Douglas and from 5.3 to 8.8 for Johnston. The ranges overlap, so Johnston outscoring Douglas is a realistic result.
Quentin Johnston is the safer start: even the most cautious projection source has Johnston at 5.3 PPR points, against 5.1 for Caleb Douglas.
Start the higher floor when you are favored and only need to avoid a dud.
Caleb Douglas has the higher ceiling: the most optimistic projection source has Douglas at 9.2 PPR points, against 8.8 for Quentin Johnston.
Start the higher ceiling when you are the underdog and need points more than safety.
Caleb Douglas plays NE and Quentin Johnston plays LAR in Week 8.
By fantasy points allowed to each position, Douglas faces the 13th-softest defense against WRs and Johnston faces the 5th-toughest defense against WRs, so Caleb Douglas has the softer matchup.
Each projection already accounts for the opponent, so a soft matchup is a tiebreaker, not a reason to bench the higher projection.
Over his recent games Caleb Douglas has drawn 18% of his team's targets, and Quentin Johnston 11% of his team's targets.
Caleb Douglas has the bigger role, and volume is the steadiest thing a projection rests on.
These numbers are in PPR. Full PPR adds a point per catch, so it helps whichever player sees more targets, which here is Caleb Douglas.
Switch between PPR, Half PPR and Standard on the board above to rescore both players from the same sources.
Neither Caleb Douglas nor Quentin Johnston has an injury designation for Week 8.
Designations change through the week, so check again before kickoff; this page updates with each refresh.
Each figure is the average of the projection sources that carry the player this week: StatChasers, Sleeper, ESPN, numberFire, FFToday and the betting markets (sportsbook player props). Caleb Douglas is projected by 5 of them and Quentin Johnston by 5.
A source with no number for a player is left out of the average rather than counted as a zero.