Start Justin Herbert. Herbert is projected for 13.2 PPR points vs 12.0 for Cam Ward, and faces the 14th-softest defense against QBs this week.
Updated Oct 30, 7:29 AM ET
| Justin Herbert QB · LAC | Cam Ward QB · TEN | |
|---|---|---|
| Projection (Week 8, avg of sources) | 13.2 | 12.0 |
| Floor (lowest source) | 10.4 | 9.4 |
| Ceiling (highest source) | 16.2 | 14.2 |
| StatChasers projection | 14.6 (QB23) | 13.4 (QB26) |
| Opponent | vs LAR | vs CIN |
| Opponent vs. position | 14th-softest (17.8 pts/g allowed) | 16th-toughest (17.1 pts/g allowed) |
| Recent usage | 1% target share (last 3) | — |
| Position | QB | QB |
| Our call | SIT · Bench | SIT · Bench |
Settle every start/sit call with projections, matchup, recent usage and floor-versus-ceiling for your exact scoring settings.
Start Justin Herbert. Herbert projects for 13.2 PPR points vs LAR, against 12.0 for Cam Ward vs CIN: a 1.2-point edge.
The projection is the average of every source that carries each player this week, and a player listed Out or Doubtful is never the start.
Justin Herbert is projected to score more: 13.2 PPR points to 12.0 for Cam Ward.
The sources range from 10.4 to 16.2 for Herbert and from 9.4 to 14.2 for Ward. The ranges overlap, so Ward outscoring Herbert is a realistic result.
Justin Herbert is the safer start: even the most cautious projection source has Herbert at 10.4 PPR points, against 9.4 for Cam Ward.
Start the higher floor when you are favored and only need to avoid a dud.
Justin Herbert has the higher ceiling: the most optimistic projection source has Herbert at 16.2 PPR points, against 14.2 for Cam Ward.
Start the higher ceiling when you are the underdog and need points more than safety.
Justin Herbert plays LAR and Cam Ward plays CIN in Week 8.
By fantasy points allowed to each position, Herbert faces the 14th-softest defense against QBs and Ward faces the 16th-toughest defense against QBs, so Justin Herbert has the softer matchup.
Each projection already accounts for the opponent, so a soft matchup is a tiebreaker, not a reason to bench the higher projection.
These numbers are in PPR. Full PPR adds a point per catch, so it helps whichever player sees more targets.
Switch between PPR, Half PPR and Standard on the board above to rescore both players from the same sources.
Neither Justin Herbert nor Cam Ward has an injury designation for Week 8.
Designations change through the week, so check again before kickoff; this page updates with each refresh.
Each figure is the average of the projection sources that carry the player this week: StatChasers, Sleeper, ESPN, numberFire, FFToday and the betting markets (sportsbook player props). Justin Herbert is projected by 6 of them and Cam Ward by 6.
A source with no number for a player is left out of the average rather than counted as a zero.