Start Michael Penix Jr.. Penix Jr. is projected for 14.3 PPR points vs 13.2 for Justin Herbert, and faces the 6th-toughest defense against QBs this week.
Updated Oct 30, 7:29 AM ET
| Michael Penix Jr. QB · ATL | Justin Herbert QB · LAC | |
|---|---|---|
| Projection (Week 8, avg of sources) | 14.3 | 13.2 |
| Floor (lowest source) | 11.9 | 10.4 |
| Ceiling (highest source) | 15.9 | 16.2 |
| StatChasers projection | 14.9 (QB22) | 14.6 (QB23) |
| Opponent | vs TB | vs LAR |
| Opponent vs. position | 6th-toughest (14.7 pts/g allowed) | 14th-softest (17.8 pts/g allowed) |
| Recent usage | — | 1% target share (last 3) |
| Position | QB | QB |
| Our call | SIT · Bench | SIT · Bench |
Settle every start/sit call with projections, matchup, recent usage and floor-versus-ceiling for your exact scoring settings.
Start Michael Penix Jr.. Penix Jr. projects for 14.3 PPR points vs TB, against 13.2 for Justin Herbert vs LAR: a 1.1-point edge.
The projection is the average of every source that carries each player this week, and a player listed Out or Doubtful is never the start.
Michael Penix Jr. is projected to score more: 14.3 PPR points to 13.2 for Justin Herbert.
The sources range from 11.9 to 15.9 for Penix Jr. and from 10.4 to 16.2 for Herbert. The ranges overlap, so Herbert outscoring Penix Jr. is a realistic result.
Michael Penix Jr. is the safer start: even the most cautious projection source has Penix Jr. at 11.9 PPR points, against 10.4 for Justin Herbert.
Start the higher floor when you are favored and only need to avoid a dud.
Justin Herbert has the higher ceiling: the most optimistic projection source has Herbert at 16.2 PPR points, against 15.9 for Michael Penix Jr..
Start the higher ceiling when you are the underdog and need points more than safety.
Michael Penix Jr. plays TB and Justin Herbert plays LAR in Week 8.
By fantasy points allowed to each position, Penix Jr. faces the 6th-toughest defense against QBs and Herbert faces the 14th-softest defense against QBs, so Justin Herbert has the softer matchup.
Each projection already accounts for the opponent, so a soft matchup is a tiebreaker, not a reason to bench the higher projection.
These numbers are in PPR. Full PPR adds a point per catch, so it helps whichever player sees more targets.
Switch between PPR, Half PPR and Standard on the board above to rescore both players from the same sources.
Neither Michael Penix Jr. nor Justin Herbert has an injury designation for Week 8.
Designations change through the week, so check again before kickoff; this page updates with each refresh.
Each figure is the average of the projection sources that carry the player this week: StatChasers, Sleeper, ESPN, numberFire, FFToday and the betting markets (sportsbook player props). Michael Penix Jr. is projected by 6 of them and Justin Herbert by 6.
A source with no number for a player is left out of the average rather than counted as a zero.