Too close to call: Malik Nabers (14.8) and Tetairoa McMillan (14.8) project within 0.0 PPR points of each other in Week 7, and Malik Nabers faces the 4th-softest defense against WRs.
Updated Oct 24, 4:47 PM ET
| Malik Nabers WR · NYG | Tetairoa McMillan WR · CAR | |
|---|---|---|
| Projection (Week 7, avg of sources) | 14.8 | 14.8 |
| Floor (lowest source) | 13.2 | 14.1 |
| Ceiling (highest source) | 17.7 | 15.8 |
| StatChasers projection | — | — |
| Opponent | vs HOU | vs TB |
| Opponent vs. position | 4th-softest (38.1 pts/g allowed) | 14th-softest (32.9 pts/g allowed) |
| Recent usage | 34% target share (last 3) | 26% target share (last 3) |
| Position | WR | WR |
| Our call | START · WR2 | START · WR2 |
Settle every start/sit call with projections, matchup, recent usage and floor-versus-ceiling for your exact scoring settings.
It is a coin flip. Malik Nabers projects for 14.8 PPR points and Tetairoa McMillan for 14.8, within 0.0 of each other.
Break the tie with the floor if you are favored this week, and with the ceiling if you need a big game to win.
They are projected almost level: 14.8 PPR points for Malik Nabers and 14.8 for Tetairoa McMillan.
The sources range from 13.2 to 17.7 for Nabers and from 14.1 to 15.8 for McMillan. Either result is well inside both ranges.
Tetairoa McMillan is the safer start: even the most cautious projection source has McMillan at 14.1 PPR points, against 13.2 for Malik Nabers.
Start the higher floor when you are favored and only need to avoid a dud.
Malik Nabers has the higher ceiling: the most optimistic projection source has Nabers at 17.7 PPR points, against 15.8 for Tetairoa McMillan.
Start the higher ceiling when you are the underdog and need points more than safety.
Malik Nabers plays HOU and Tetairoa McMillan plays TB in Week 7.
By fantasy points allowed to each position, Nabers faces the 4th-softest defense against WRs and McMillan faces the 14th-softest defense against WRs, so Malik Nabers has the softer matchup.
Each projection already accounts for the opponent, so a soft matchup is a tiebreaker, not a reason to bench the higher projection.
Over his recent games Malik Nabers has drawn 34% of his team's targets, and Tetairoa McMillan 26% of his team's targets.
Malik Nabers has the bigger role, and volume is the steadiest thing a projection rests on.
These numbers are in PPR. Full PPR adds a point per catch, so it helps whichever player sees more targets, which here is Malik Nabers.
Switch between PPR, Half PPR and Standard on the board above to rescore both players from the same sources.
Neither Malik Nabers nor Tetairoa McMillan has an injury designation for Week 7.
Designations change through the week, so check again before kickoff; this page updates with each refresh.
Each figure is the average of the projection sources that carry the player this week: StatChasers, Sleeper, ESPN, numberFire, FFToday and the betting markets (sportsbook player props). Malik Nabers is projected by 4 of them and Tetairoa McMillan by 4.
A source with no number for a player is left out of the average rather than counted as a zero.