Start Chase Brown. Brown is projected for 16.7 PPR points vs 13.1 for Tyler Allgeier, and faces the 5th-softest defense against RBs this week.
Updated Nov 7, 4:39 PM ET
| Chase Brown RB · CIN | Tyler Allgeier RB · ARI | |
|---|---|---|
| Projection (Week 9, avg of sources) | 16.7 | 13.1 |
| Floor (lowest source) | 15.4 | 11.0 |
| Ceiling (highest source) | 18.3 | 15.4 |
| StatChasers projection | 17.4 (RB6) | 12.3 (RB25) |
| Opponent | vs ATL | vs SEA |
| Opponent vs. position | 5th-softest (25.9 pts/g allowed) | 14th-softest (22.2 pts/g allowed) |
| Recent usage | 51% carry share (last 3) | 43% carry share (last 3) |
| Position | RB | RB |
| Our call | START · Strong RB1 | FLEX · Flex |
Settle every start/sit call with projections, matchup, recent usage and floor-versus-ceiling for your exact scoring settings.
Start Chase Brown. Brown projects for 16.7 PPR points vs ATL, against 13.1 for Tyler Allgeier vs SEA: a 3.6-point edge.
The projection is the average of every source that carries each player this week, and a player listed Out or Doubtful is never the start.
Chase Brown is projected to score more: 16.7 PPR points to 13.1 for Tyler Allgeier.
The sources range from 15.4 to 18.3 for Brown and from 11.0 to 15.4 for Allgeier. The ranges overlap, so Allgeier outscoring Brown is a realistic result.
Chase Brown is the safer start: even the most cautious projection source has Brown at 15.4 PPR points, against 11.0 for Tyler Allgeier.
Start the higher floor when you are favored and only need to avoid a dud.
Chase Brown has the higher ceiling: the most optimistic projection source has Brown at 18.3 PPR points, against 15.4 for Tyler Allgeier.
Start the higher ceiling when you are the underdog and need points more than safety.
Chase Brown plays ATL and Tyler Allgeier plays SEA in Week 9.
By fantasy points allowed to each position, Brown faces the 5th-softest defense against RBs and Allgeier faces the 14th-softest defense against RBs, so Chase Brown has the softer matchup.
Each projection already accounts for the opponent, so a soft matchup is a tiebreaker, not a reason to bench the higher projection.
Over his recent games Chase Brown has drawn 51% of his team's carries, and Tyler Allgeier 43% of his team's carries.
Chase Brown has the bigger role, and volume is the steadiest thing a projection rests on.
These numbers are in PPR. Full PPR adds a point per catch, so it helps whichever player sees more targets.
Switch between PPR, Half PPR and Standard on the board above to rescore both players from the same sources.
Neither Chase Brown nor Tyler Allgeier has an injury designation for Week 9.
Designations change through the week, so check again before kickoff; this page updates with each refresh.
Each figure is the average of the projection sources that carry the player this week: StatChasers, Sleeper, ESPN, numberFire, FFToday and the betting markets (sportsbook player props). Chase Brown is projected by 6 of them and Tyler Allgeier by 6.
A source with no number for a player is left out of the average rather than counted as a zero.