Start Michael Wilson. Wilson is projected for 11.4 PPR points vs 10.5 for Chris Godwin Jr., and faces the 7th-toughest defense against WRs this week.
Updated Oct 24, 4:47 PM ET
| Michael Wilson WR · ARI | Chris Godwin Jr. WR · TB | |
|---|---|---|
| Projection (Week 7, avg of sources) | 11.4 | 10.5 |
| Floor (lowest source) | 9.6 | 8.3 |
| Ceiling (highest source) | 12.6 | 11.4 |
| StatChasers projection | — | — |
| Opponent | vs DEN | vs CAR |
| Opponent vs. position | 7th-toughest (29.3 pts/g allowed) | 8th-toughest (29.4 pts/g allowed) |
| Recent usage | 24% target share (last 3) | 20% target share (last 3) |
| Position | WR | WR |
| Our call | START · WR3 | FLEX · Flex |
Settle every start/sit call with projections, matchup, recent usage and floor-versus-ceiling for your exact scoring settings.
Start Michael Wilson. Wilson projects for 11.4 PPR points vs DEN, against 10.5 for Chris Godwin Jr. vs CAR: a 0.9-point edge.
The projection is the average of every source that carries each player this week, and a player listed Out or Doubtful is never the start.
Michael Wilson is projected to score more: 11.4 PPR points to 10.5 for Chris Godwin Jr..
The sources range from 9.6 to 12.6 for Wilson and from 8.3 to 11.4 for Godwin Jr.. The ranges overlap, so Godwin Jr. outscoring Wilson is a realistic result.
Michael Wilson is the safer start: even the most cautious projection source has Wilson at 9.6 PPR points, against 8.3 for Chris Godwin Jr..
Start the higher floor when you are favored and only need to avoid a dud.
Michael Wilson has the higher ceiling: the most optimistic projection source has Wilson at 12.6 PPR points, against 11.4 for Chris Godwin Jr..
Start the higher ceiling when you are the underdog and need points more than safety.
Michael Wilson plays DEN and Chris Godwin Jr. plays CAR in Week 7.
By fantasy points allowed to each position, Wilson faces the 7th-toughest defense against WRs and Godwin Jr. faces the 8th-toughest defense against WRs, so Chris Godwin Jr. has the softer matchup.
Each projection already accounts for the opponent, so a soft matchup is a tiebreaker, not a reason to bench the higher projection.
Over his recent games Michael Wilson has drawn 24% of his team's targets, and Chris Godwin Jr. 20% of his team's targets.
Michael Wilson has the bigger role, and volume is the steadiest thing a projection rests on.
These numbers are in PPR. Full PPR adds a point per catch, so it helps whichever player sees more targets, which here is Michael Wilson.
Switch between PPR, Half PPR and Standard on the board above to rescore both players from the same sources.
Neither Michael Wilson nor Chris Godwin Jr. has an injury designation for Week 7.
Designations change through the week, so check again before kickoff; this page updates with each refresh.
Each figure is the average of the projection sources that carry the player this week: StatChasers, Sleeper, ESPN, numberFire, FFToday and the betting markets (sportsbook player props). Michael Wilson is projected by 4 of them and Chris Godwin Jr. by 4.
A source with no number for a player is left out of the average rather than counted as a zero.