Too close to call: Aaron Jones Sr. (11.4) and Michael Wilson (11.4) project within 0.0 PPR points of each other in Week 7, and Aaron Jones Sr. faces the 6th-softest defense against RBs.
Updated Oct 24, 4:47 PM ET
| Aaron Jones Sr. RB · MIN | Michael Wilson WR · ARI | |
|---|---|---|
| Projection (Week 7, avg of sources) | 11.4 | 11.4 |
| Floor (lowest source) | 8.5 | 9.6 |
| Ceiling (highest source) | 12.7 | 12.6 |
| StatChasers projection | — | — |
| Opponent | vs IND | vs DEN |
| Opponent vs. position | 6th-softest (23.9 pts/g allowed) | 7th-toughest (29.3 pts/g allowed) |
| Recent usage | 69% carry share (last 3) | 24% target share (last 3) |
| Position | RB | WR |
| Our call | START · RB2 | START · WR3 |
Settle every start/sit call with projections, matchup, recent usage and floor-versus-ceiling for your exact scoring settings.
It is a coin flip. Aaron Jones Sr. projects for 11.4 PPR points and Michael Wilson for 11.4, within 0.0 of each other.
Break the tie with the floor if you are favored this week, and with the ceiling if you need a big game to win.
They are projected almost level: 11.4 PPR points for Aaron Jones Sr. and 11.4 for Michael Wilson.
The sources range from 8.5 to 12.7 for Jones Sr. and from 9.6 to 12.6 for Wilson. Either result is well inside both ranges.
Michael Wilson is the safer start: even the most cautious projection source has Wilson at 9.6 PPR points, against 8.5 for Aaron Jones Sr..
Start the higher floor when you are favored and only need to avoid a dud.
Aaron Jones Sr. has the higher ceiling: the most optimistic projection source has Jones Sr. at 12.7 PPR points, against 12.6 for Michael Wilson.
Start the higher ceiling when you are the underdog and need points more than safety.
Aaron Jones Sr. plays IND and Michael Wilson plays DEN in Week 7.
By fantasy points allowed to each position, Jones Sr. faces the 6th-softest defense against RBs and Wilson faces the 7th-toughest defense against WRs, so Aaron Jones Sr. has the softer matchup.
Each projection already accounts for the opponent, so a soft matchup is a tiebreaker, not a reason to bench the higher projection.
Over his recent games Aaron Jones Sr. has drawn 69% of his team's carries, and Michael Wilson 24% of his team's targets.
These numbers are in PPR. Full PPR adds a point per catch, so it helps whichever player sees more targets, which here is Michael Wilson.
Switch between PPR, Half PPR and Standard on the board above to rescore both players from the same sources.
Neither Aaron Jones Sr. nor Michael Wilson has an injury designation for Week 7.
Designations change through the week, so check again before kickoff; this page updates with each refresh.
Each figure is the average of the projection sources that carry the player this week: StatChasers, Sleeper, ESPN, numberFire, FFToday and the betting markets (sportsbook player props). Aaron Jones Sr. is projected by 5 of them and Michael Wilson by 4.
A source with no number for a player is left out of the average rather than counted as a zero.