Too close to call: Michael Wilson (11.4) and Travis Kelce (11.3) project within 0.1 PPR points of each other in Week 7, and Michael Wilson faces the 7th-toughest defense against WRs.
Updated Oct 24, 4:47 PM ET
| Michael Wilson WR · ARI | Travis Kelce TE · KC | |
|---|---|---|
| Projection (Week 7, avg of sources) | 11.4 | 11.3 |
| Floor (lowest source) | 9.6 | 10.1 |
| Ceiling (highest source) | 12.6 | 12.1 |
| StatChasers projection | — | — |
| Opponent | vs DEN | vs SEA |
| Opponent vs. position | 7th-toughest (29.3 pts/g allowed) | 3rd-toughest (9.1 pts/g allowed) |
| Recent usage | 24% target share (last 3) | 14% target share (last 3) |
| Position | WR | TE |
| Our call | START · WR3 | START · TE1 |
Settle every start/sit call with projections, matchup, recent usage and floor-versus-ceiling for your exact scoring settings.
It is a coin flip. Michael Wilson projects for 11.4 PPR points and Travis Kelce for 11.3, within 0.1 of each other.
Break the tie with the floor if you are favored this week, and with the ceiling if you need a big game to win.
They are projected almost level: 11.4 PPR points for Michael Wilson and 11.3 for Travis Kelce.
The sources range from 9.6 to 12.6 for Wilson and from 10.1 to 12.1 for Kelce. Either result is well inside both ranges.
Travis Kelce is the safer start: even the most cautious projection source has Kelce at 10.1 PPR points, against 9.6 for Michael Wilson.
Start the higher floor when you are favored and only need to avoid a dud.
Michael Wilson has the higher ceiling: the most optimistic projection source has Wilson at 12.6 PPR points, against 12.1 for Travis Kelce.
Start the higher ceiling when you are the underdog and need points more than safety.
Michael Wilson plays DEN and Travis Kelce plays SEA in Week 7.
By fantasy points allowed to each position, Wilson faces the 7th-toughest defense against WRs and Kelce faces the 3rd-toughest defense against TEs, so Michael Wilson has the softer matchup.
Each projection already accounts for the opponent, so a soft matchup is a tiebreaker, not a reason to bench the higher projection.
Over his recent games Michael Wilson has drawn 24% of his team's targets, and Travis Kelce 14% of his team's targets.
Michael Wilson has the bigger role, and volume is the steadiest thing a projection rests on.
These numbers are in PPR. Full PPR adds a point per catch, so it helps whichever player sees more targets, which here is Michael Wilson.
Switch between PPR, Half PPR and Standard on the board above to rescore both players from the same sources.
Neither Michael Wilson nor Travis Kelce has an injury designation for Week 7.
Designations change through the week, so check again before kickoff; this page updates with each refresh.
Each figure is the average of the projection sources that carry the player this week: StatChasers, Sleeper, ESPN, numberFire, FFToday and the betting markets (sportsbook player props). Michael Wilson is projected by 4 of them and Travis Kelce by 4.
A source with no number for a player is left out of the average rather than counted as a zero.