Too close to call: Chris Rodriguez Jr. (7.3) and Kaelon Black (7.3) project within 0.0 PPR points of each other in Week 9, and Chris Rodriguez Jr. faces the 8th-toughest defense against RBs.
Updated Nov 7, 4:39 PM ET
| Chris Rodriguez Jr. RB · JAX | Kaelon Black RB · SF | |
|---|---|---|
| Projection (Week 9, avg of sources) | 7.3 | 7.3 |
| Floor (lowest source) | 5.4 | 5.0 |
| Ceiling (highest source) | 13.5 | 10.7 |
| StatChasers projection | 13.5 (RB20) | 7.0 (RB38) |
| Opponent | vs BAL | vs LV |
| Opponent vs. position | 8th-toughest (19.5 pts/g allowed) | 6th-softest (25.3 pts/g allowed) |
| Recent usage | 22% carry share (last 3) | 34% carry share (last 3) |
| Position | RB | RB |
| Our call | START · RB2 | SIT · Bench |
Settle every start/sit call with projections, matchup, recent usage and floor-versus-ceiling for your exact scoring settings.
It is a coin flip. Chris Rodriguez Jr. projects for 7.3 PPR points and Kaelon Black for 7.3, within 0.0 of each other.
Break the tie with the floor if you are favored this week, and with the ceiling if you need a big game to win.
They are projected almost level: 7.3 PPR points for Chris Rodriguez Jr. and 7.3 for Kaelon Black.
The sources range from 5.4 to 13.5 for Rodriguez Jr. and from 5.0 to 10.7 for Black. Either result is well inside both ranges.
Chris Rodriguez Jr. is the safer start: even the most cautious projection source has Rodriguez Jr. at 5.4 PPR points, against 5.0 for Kaelon Black.
Start the higher floor when you are favored and only need to avoid a dud.
Chris Rodriguez Jr. has the higher ceiling: the most optimistic projection source has Rodriguez Jr. at 13.5 PPR points, against 10.7 for Kaelon Black.
Start the higher ceiling when you are the underdog and need points more than safety.
Chris Rodriguez Jr. plays BAL and Kaelon Black plays LV in Week 9.
By fantasy points allowed to each position, Rodriguez Jr. faces the 8th-toughest defense against RBs and Black faces the 6th-softest defense against RBs, so Kaelon Black has the softer matchup.
Each projection already accounts for the opponent, so a soft matchup is a tiebreaker, not a reason to bench the higher projection.
Over his recent games Chris Rodriguez Jr. has drawn 22% of his team's carries, and Kaelon Black 34% of his team's carries.
Kaelon Black has the bigger role, and volume is the steadiest thing a projection rests on.
These numbers are in PPR. Full PPR adds a point per catch, so it helps whichever player sees more targets.
Switch between PPR, Half PPR and Standard on the board above to rescore both players from the same sources.
Neither Chris Rodriguez Jr. nor Kaelon Black has an injury designation for Week 9.
Designations change through the week, so check again before kickoff; this page updates with each refresh.
Each figure is the average of the projection sources that carry the player this week: StatChasers, Sleeper, ESPN, numberFire, FFToday and the betting markets (sportsbook player props). Chris Rodriguez Jr. is projected by 6 of them and Kaelon Black by 6.
A source with no number for a player is left out of the average rather than counted as a zero.