Start D'Andre Swift. Swift is projected for 15.3 PPR points vs 14.8 for Malik Nabers, and faces the 16th-softest defense against RBs this week.
Updated Oct 24, 4:47 PM ET
| D'Andre Swift RB · CHI | Malik Nabers WR · NYG | |
|---|---|---|
| Projection (Week 7, avg of sources) | 15.3 | 14.8 |
| Floor (lowest source) | 13.1 | 13.2 |
| Ceiling (highest source) | 16.7 | 17.7 |
| StatChasers projection | — | — |
| Opponent | vs NE | vs HOU |
| Opponent vs. position | 16th-softest (20.7 pts/g allowed) | 4th-softest (38.1 pts/g allowed) |
| Recent usage | 36% carry share (last 3) | 34% target share (last 3) |
| Position | RB | WR |
| Our call | START · Strong RB1 | START · WR2 |
Settle every start/sit call with projections, matchup, recent usage and floor-versus-ceiling for your exact scoring settings.
Start D'Andre Swift. Swift projects for 15.3 PPR points vs NE, against 14.8 for Malik Nabers vs HOU: a 0.5-point edge.
The projection is the average of every source that carries each player this week, and a player listed Out or Doubtful is never the start.
D'Andre Swift is projected to score more: 15.3 PPR points to 14.8 for Malik Nabers.
The sources range from 13.1 to 16.7 for Swift and from 13.2 to 17.7 for Nabers. The ranges overlap, so Nabers outscoring Swift is a realistic result.
Malik Nabers is the safer start: even the most cautious projection source has Nabers at 13.2 PPR points, against 13.1 for D'Andre Swift.
Start the higher floor when you are favored and only need to avoid a dud.
Malik Nabers has the higher ceiling: the most optimistic projection source has Nabers at 17.7 PPR points, against 16.7 for D'Andre Swift.
Start the higher ceiling when you are the underdog and need points more than safety.
D'Andre Swift plays NE and Malik Nabers plays HOU in Week 7.
By fantasy points allowed to each position, Swift faces the 16th-softest defense against RBs and Nabers faces the 4th-softest defense against WRs, so Malik Nabers has the softer matchup.
Each projection already accounts for the opponent, so a soft matchup is a tiebreaker, not a reason to bench the higher projection.
Over his recent games D'Andre Swift has drawn 36% of his team's carries, and Malik Nabers 34% of his team's targets.
These numbers are in PPR. Full PPR adds a point per catch, so it helps whichever player sees more targets, which here is Malik Nabers.
Switch between PPR, Half PPR and Standard on the board above to rescore both players from the same sources.
Neither D'Andre Swift nor Malik Nabers has an injury designation for Week 7.
Designations change through the week, so check again before kickoff; this page updates with each refresh.
Each figure is the average of the projection sources that carry the player this week: StatChasers, Sleeper, ESPN, numberFire, FFToday and the betting markets (sportsbook player props). D'Andre Swift is projected by 5 of them and Malik Nabers by 4.
A source with no number for a player is left out of the average rather than counted as a zero.