Start Ollie Gordon II. Gordon II is projected for 10.7 PPR points vs 10.3 for David Montgomery, and faces the 14th-softest defense against RBs this week.
Updated Oct 24, 4:47 PM ET
| Ollie Gordon II RB · MIA | David Montgomery RB · HOU | |
|---|---|---|
| Projection (Week 7, avg of sources) | 10.7 | 10.3 |
| Floor (lowest source) | 8.1 | 10.3 |
| Ceiling (highest source) | 13.1 | 10.3 |
| StatChasers projection | — | — |
| Opponent | vs NYJ | Bye |
| Opponent vs. position | 14th-softest (21.9 pts/g allowed) | — |
| Recent usage | 53% carry share (last 3) | 39% carry share (last 3) |
| Position | RB | RB |
| Our call | START · RB2 | FLEX · Flex |
Settle every start/sit call with projections, matchup, recent usage and floor-versus-ceiling for your exact scoring settings.
Start Ollie Gordon II. Gordon II projects for 10.7 PPR points vs NYJ, against 10.3 for David Montgomery on a bye: a 0.4-point edge.
The projection is the average of every source that carries each player this week, and a player listed Out or Doubtful is never the start.
Ollie Gordon II is projected to score more: 10.7 PPR points to 10.3 for David Montgomery.
The sources range from 8.1 to 13.1 for Gordon II and from 10.3 to 10.3 for Montgomery. The ranges overlap, so Montgomery outscoring Gordon II is a realistic result.
David Montgomery is the safer start: even the most cautious projection source has Montgomery at 10.3 PPR points, against 8.1 for Ollie Gordon II.
Start the higher floor when you are favored and only need to avoid a dud.
Ollie Gordon II has the higher ceiling: the most optimistic projection source has Gordon II at 13.1 PPR points, against 10.3 for David Montgomery.
Start the higher ceiling when you are the underdog and need points more than safety.
Ollie Gordon II plays NYJ and David Montgomery is on a bye in Week 7.
Each projection already accounts for the opponent, so a soft matchup is a tiebreaker, not a reason to bench the higher projection.
Over his recent games Ollie Gordon II has drawn 53% of his team's carries, and David Montgomery 39% of his team's carries.
Ollie Gordon II has the bigger role, and volume is the steadiest thing a projection rests on.
These numbers are in PPR. Full PPR adds a point per catch, so it helps whichever player sees more targets.
Switch between PPR, Half PPR and Standard on the board above to rescore both players from the same sources.
Ollie Gordon II has no injury designation, and David Montgomery is on a bye.
Designations change through the week, so check again before kickoff; this page updates with each refresh.
Each figure is the average of the projection sources that carry the player this week: StatChasers, Sleeper, ESPN, numberFire, FFToday and the betting markets (sportsbook player props). Ollie Gordon II is projected by 5 of them and David Montgomery by 1.
A source with no number for a player is left out of the average rather than counted as a zero.