Start Demarcus Robinson. Robinson is projected for 9.4 PPR points vs 8.9 for Josh Downs, and faces the 11th-softest defense against WRs this week.
Updated Nov 7, 4:39 PM ET
| Demarcus Robinson WR · SF | Josh Downs WR · IND | |
|---|---|---|
| Projection (Week 9, avg of sources) | 9.4 | 8.9 |
| Floor (lowest source) | 7.9 | 7.2 |
| Ceiling (highest source) | 10.4 | 11.0 |
| StatChasers projection | — | 9.1 (WR48) |
| Opponent | vs LV | vs DAL |
| Opponent vs. position | 11th-softest (33.8 pts/g allowed) | 7th-softest (35.6 pts/g allowed) |
| Recent usage | 12% target share (last 3) | 19% target share (last 3) |
| Position | WR | WR |
| Our call | SIT · Bench | SIT · Bench |
Settle every start/sit call with projections, matchup, recent usage and floor-versus-ceiling for your exact scoring settings.
Start Demarcus Robinson. Robinson projects for 9.4 PPR points vs LV, against 8.9 for Josh Downs vs DAL: a 0.5-point edge.
The projection is the average of every source that carries each player this week, and a player listed Out or Doubtful is never the start.
Demarcus Robinson is projected to score more: 9.4 PPR points to 8.9 for Josh Downs.
The sources range from 7.9 to 10.4 for Robinson and from 7.2 to 11.0 for Downs. The ranges overlap, so Downs outscoring Robinson is a realistic result.
Demarcus Robinson is the safer start: even the most cautious projection source has Robinson at 7.9 PPR points, against 7.2 for Josh Downs.
Start the higher floor when you are favored and only need to avoid a dud.
Josh Downs has the higher ceiling: the most optimistic projection source has Downs at 11.0 PPR points, against 10.4 for Demarcus Robinson.
Start the higher ceiling when you are the underdog and need points more than safety.
Demarcus Robinson plays LV and Josh Downs plays DAL in Week 9.
By fantasy points allowed to each position, Robinson faces the 11th-softest defense against WRs and Downs faces the 7th-softest defense against WRs, so Josh Downs has the softer matchup.
Each projection already accounts for the opponent, so a soft matchup is a tiebreaker, not a reason to bench the higher projection.
Over his recent games Demarcus Robinson has drawn 12% of his team's targets, and Josh Downs 19% of his team's targets.
Josh Downs has the bigger role, and volume is the steadiest thing a projection rests on.
These numbers are in PPR. Full PPR adds a point per catch, so it helps whichever player sees more targets, which here is Josh Downs.
Switch between PPR, Half PPR and Standard on the board above to rescore both players from the same sources.
Neither Demarcus Robinson nor Josh Downs has an injury designation for Week 9.
Designations change through the week, so check again before kickoff; this page updates with each refresh.
Each figure is the average of the projection sources that carry the player this week: StatChasers, Sleeper, ESPN, numberFire, FFToday and the betting markets (sportsbook player props). Demarcus Robinson is projected by 5 of them and Josh Downs by 6.
A source with no number for a player is left out of the average rather than counted as a zero.