Too close to call: Mack Hollins (9.1) and Josh Downs (8.9) project within 0.2 PPR points of each other in Week 9, and Mack Hollins faces the 9th-softest defense against WRs.
Updated Nov 7, 4:39 PM ET
| Mack Hollins WR · NE | Josh Downs WR · IND | |
|---|---|---|
| Projection (Week 9, avg of sources) | 9.1 | 8.9 |
| Floor (lowest source) | 7.7 | 7.2 |
| Ceiling (highest source) | 10.3 | 11.0 |
| StatChasers projection | 9.3 (WR47) | 9.1 (WR48) |
| Opponent | vs GB | vs DAL |
| Opponent vs. position | 9th-softest (34.8 pts/g allowed) | 7th-softest (35.6 pts/g allowed) |
| Recent usage | 17% target share (last 3) | 19% target share (last 3) |
| Position | WR | WR |
| Our call | SIT · Bench | SIT · Bench |
Settle every start/sit call with projections, matchup, recent usage and floor-versus-ceiling for your exact scoring settings.
It is a coin flip. Mack Hollins projects for 9.1 PPR points and Josh Downs for 8.9, within 0.2 of each other.
Break the tie with the floor if you are favored this week, and with the ceiling if you need a big game to win.
They are projected almost level: 9.1 PPR points for Mack Hollins and 8.9 for Josh Downs.
The sources range from 7.7 to 10.3 for Hollins and from 7.2 to 11.0 for Downs. Either result is well inside both ranges.
Mack Hollins is the safer start: even the most cautious projection source has Hollins at 7.7 PPR points, against 7.2 for Josh Downs.
Start the higher floor when you are favored and only need to avoid a dud.
Josh Downs has the higher ceiling: the most optimistic projection source has Downs at 11.0 PPR points, against 10.3 for Mack Hollins.
Start the higher ceiling when you are the underdog and need points more than safety.
Mack Hollins plays GB and Josh Downs plays DAL in Week 9.
By fantasy points allowed to each position, Hollins faces the 9th-softest defense against WRs and Downs faces the 7th-softest defense against WRs, so Josh Downs has the softer matchup.
Each projection already accounts for the opponent, so a soft matchup is a tiebreaker, not a reason to bench the higher projection.
Over his recent games Mack Hollins has drawn 17% of his team's targets, and Josh Downs 19% of his team's targets.
Josh Downs has the bigger role, and volume is the steadiest thing a projection rests on.
These numbers are in PPR. Full PPR adds a point per catch, so it helps whichever player sees more targets, which here is Josh Downs.
Switch between PPR, Half PPR and Standard on the board above to rescore both players from the same sources.
Neither Mack Hollins nor Josh Downs has an injury designation for Week 9.
Designations change through the week, so check again before kickoff; this page updates with each refresh.
Each figure is the average of the projection sources that carry the player this week: StatChasers, Sleeper, ESPN, numberFire, FFToday and the betting markets (sportsbook player props). Mack Hollins is projected by 5 of them and Josh Downs by 6.
A source with no number for a player is left out of the average rather than counted as a zero.