Start Kenneth Walker III. Walker III is projected for 19.2 PPR points vs 16.7 for Derrick Henry, and faces the 11th-softest defense against RBs this week.
Updated Oct 30, 7:29 AM ET
| Kenneth Walker III RB · KC | Derrick Henry RB · BAL | |
|---|---|---|
| Projection (Week 8, avg of sources) | 19.2 | 16.7 |
| Floor (lowest source) | 16.7 | 15.8 |
| Ceiling (highest source) | 20.6 | 18.8 |
| StatChasers projection | 19.7 (RB3) | 16.4 (RB13) |
| Opponent | vs DEN | vs BUF |
| Opponent vs. position | 11th-softest (22.4 pts/g allowed) | 3rd-softest (27.3 pts/g allowed) |
| Recent usage | 82% carry share (last 3) | 68% carry share (last 3) |
| Position | RB | RB |
| Our call | START · Strong RB1 | START · RB2 |
Settle every start/sit call with projections, matchup, recent usage and floor-versus-ceiling for your exact scoring settings.
Start Kenneth Walker III. Walker III projects for 19.2 PPR points vs DEN, against 16.7 for Derrick Henry vs BUF: a 2.5-point edge.
The projection is the average of every source that carries each player this week, and a player listed Out or Doubtful is never the start.
Kenneth Walker III is projected to score more: 19.2 PPR points to 16.7 for Derrick Henry.
The sources range from 16.7 to 20.6 for Walker III and from 15.8 to 18.8 for Henry. The ranges overlap, so Henry outscoring Walker III is a realistic result.
Kenneth Walker III is the safer start: even the most cautious projection source has Walker III at 16.7 PPR points, against 15.8 for Derrick Henry.
Start the higher floor when you are favored and only need to avoid a dud.
Kenneth Walker III has the higher ceiling: the most optimistic projection source has Walker III at 20.6 PPR points, against 18.8 for Derrick Henry.
Start the higher ceiling when you are the underdog and need points more than safety.
Kenneth Walker III plays DEN and Derrick Henry plays BUF in Week 8.
By fantasy points allowed to each position, Walker III faces the 11th-softest defense against RBs and Henry faces the 3rd-softest defense against RBs, so Derrick Henry has the softer matchup.
Each projection already accounts for the opponent, so a soft matchup is a tiebreaker, not a reason to bench the higher projection.
Over his recent games Kenneth Walker III has drawn 82% of his team's carries, and Derrick Henry 68% of his team's carries.
Kenneth Walker III has the bigger role, and volume is the steadiest thing a projection rests on.
These numbers are in PPR. Full PPR adds a point per catch, so it helps whichever player sees more targets.
Switch between PPR, Half PPR and Standard on the board above to rescore both players from the same sources.
Neither Kenneth Walker III nor Derrick Henry has an injury designation for Week 8.
Designations change through the week, so check again before kickoff; this page updates with each refresh.
Each figure is the average of the projection sources that carry the player this week: StatChasers, Sleeper, ESPN, numberFire, FFToday and the betting markets (sportsbook player props). Kenneth Walker III is projected by 6 of them and Derrick Henry by 6.
A source with no number for a player is left out of the average rather than counted as a zero.