Start Michael Wilson. Wilson is projected for 11.4 PPR points vs 11.1 for Emeka Egbuka, and faces the 7th-toughest defense against WRs this week.
Updated Oct 24, 4:47 PM ET
| Michael Wilson WR · ARI | Emeka Egbuka WR · TB | |
|---|---|---|
| Projection (Week 7, avg of sources) | 11.4 | 11.1 |
| Floor (lowest source) | 9.6 | 11.1 |
| Ceiling (highest source) | 12.6 | 11.1 |
| StatChasers projection | — | — |
| Opponent | vs DEN | Bye |
| Opponent vs. position | 7th-toughest (29.3 pts/g allowed) | — |
| Recent usage | 24% target share (last 3) | 32% target share (last 3) |
| Position | WR | WR |
| Our call | START · WR3 | START · WR3 |
Settle every start/sit call with projections, matchup, recent usage and floor-versus-ceiling for your exact scoring settings.
Start Michael Wilson. Wilson projects for 11.4 PPR points vs DEN, against 11.1 for Emeka Egbuka on a bye: a 0.3-point edge.
The projection is the average of every source that carries each player this week, and a player listed Out or Doubtful is never the start.
Michael Wilson is projected to score more: 11.4 PPR points to 11.1 for Emeka Egbuka.
The sources range from 9.6 to 12.6 for Wilson and from 11.1 to 11.1 for Egbuka. The ranges overlap, so Egbuka outscoring Wilson is a realistic result.
Emeka Egbuka is the safer start: even the most cautious projection source has Egbuka at 11.1 PPR points, against 9.6 for Michael Wilson.
Start the higher floor when you are favored and only need to avoid a dud.
Michael Wilson has the higher ceiling: the most optimistic projection source has Wilson at 12.6 PPR points, against 11.1 for Emeka Egbuka.
Start the higher ceiling when you are the underdog and need points more than safety.
Michael Wilson plays DEN and Emeka Egbuka is on a bye in Week 7.
Each projection already accounts for the opponent, so a soft matchup is a tiebreaker, not a reason to bench the higher projection.
Over his recent games Michael Wilson has drawn 24% of his team's targets, and Emeka Egbuka 32% of his team's targets.
Emeka Egbuka has the bigger role, and volume is the steadiest thing a projection rests on.
These numbers are in PPR. Full PPR adds a point per catch, so it helps whichever player sees more targets, which here is Emeka Egbuka.
Switch between PPR, Half PPR and Standard on the board above to rescore both players from the same sources.
Michael Wilson has no injury designation, and Emeka Egbuka is on a bye.
Designations change through the week, so check again before kickoff; this page updates with each refresh.
Each figure is the average of the projection sources that carry the player this week: StatChasers, Sleeper, ESPN, numberFire, FFToday and the betting markets (sportsbook player props). Michael Wilson is projected by 4 of them and Emeka Egbuka by 1.
A source with no number for a player is left out of the average rather than counted as a zero.