Start Lamar Jackson. Jackson is projected for 20.0 PPR points vs 16.2 for Geno Smith, and faces the 4th-softest defense against QBs this week.
Updated Oct 30, 7:29 AM ET
| Lamar Jackson QB · BAL | Geno Smith QB · NYJ | |
|---|---|---|
| Projection (Week 8, avg of sources) | 20.0 | 16.2 |
| Floor (lowest source) | 16.8 | 13.5 |
| Ceiling (highest source) | 22.2 | 18.5 |
| StatChasers projection | 19.9 (QB6) | 15.8 (QB19) |
| Opponent | vs BUF | vs LV |
| Opponent vs. position | 4th-softest (22.3 pts/g allowed) | 5th-softest (20.8 pts/g allowed) |
| Recent usage | — | — |
| Position | QB | QB |
| Our call | START · Strong QB1 | SIT · Bench |
Settle every start/sit call with projections, matchup, recent usage and floor-versus-ceiling for your exact scoring settings.
Start Lamar Jackson. Jackson projects for 20.0 PPR points vs BUF, against 16.2 for Geno Smith vs LV: a 3.8-point edge.
The projection is the average of every source that carries each player this week, and a player listed Out or Doubtful is never the start.
Lamar Jackson is projected to score more: 20.0 PPR points to 16.2 for Geno Smith.
The sources range from 16.8 to 22.2 for Jackson and from 13.5 to 18.5 for Smith. The ranges overlap, so Smith outscoring Jackson is a realistic result.
Lamar Jackson is the safer start: even the most cautious projection source has Jackson at 16.8 PPR points, against 13.5 for Geno Smith.
Start the higher floor when you are favored and only need to avoid a dud.
Lamar Jackson has the higher ceiling: the most optimistic projection source has Jackson at 22.2 PPR points, against 18.5 for Geno Smith.
Start the higher ceiling when you are the underdog and need points more than safety.
Lamar Jackson plays BUF and Geno Smith plays LV in Week 8.
By fantasy points allowed to each position, Jackson faces the 4th-softest defense against QBs and Smith faces the 5th-softest defense against QBs, so Lamar Jackson has the softer matchup.
Each projection already accounts for the opponent, so a soft matchup is a tiebreaker, not a reason to bench the higher projection.
These numbers are in PPR. Full PPR adds a point per catch, so it helps whichever player sees more targets.
Switch between PPR, Half PPR and Standard on the board above to rescore both players from the same sources.
Neither Lamar Jackson nor Geno Smith has an injury designation for Week 8.
Designations change through the week, so check again before kickoff; this page updates with each refresh.
Each figure is the average of the projection sources that carry the player this week: StatChasers, Sleeper, ESPN, numberFire, FFToday and the betting markets (sportsbook player props). Lamar Jackson is projected by 6 of them and Geno Smith by 6.
A source with no number for a player is left out of the average rather than counted as a zero.